Jan Hrazdil vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M25 Sharm ElSheikh
- Level
- ITF M25
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 23 · 1:35 AM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 3.38 or longer, Jan Hrazdil has won 3 of 15 (20%). That is level with the 22% the price implied.
At 1.29 or shorter, Luca Castagnola has won 9 of 10 (90%). The price implied 80%, so Luca Castagnola has beaten it by 10 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jan Hrazdil and Luca Castagnola meet next at the M25 Sharm ElSheikh on September 23 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hrazdil | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Hrazdil | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 13/19 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 38% | 13/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 13/47 | 39% | 24/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 3/11 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 10/23 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 5/12 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 78% | 21/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hrazdil
⚙️ Grinder
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 106 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Hrazdil.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Hrazdil and Castagnola have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hrazdil | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Hrazdil | Luca Castagnola | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 35% | 7/20 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hrazdil | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 13–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.67 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -43.0% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.87u | +2.10u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hrazdil | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | HUN | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hrazdil has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Castagnola's 50%).
| Opponent | Hrazdil | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Wiktor Jez | W 61 62 | L 36 36 |
| Matteo Fondriest | W 75 64 | W 60 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Preston Brown
M15 Pecs · 1st Round
Aug 26
Michael Agwi
M15 Krakow · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Wiktor Jez
M15 Krakow · 1st Round
Aug 19
Wiktor Jez
M15 Krakow · 1st Round
Aug 18
Wiktor Jez
M15 Krakow · 1st Round
Aug 18
Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Bielsko Biala · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Matteo Fondriest
M15 Bielsko Biala · 1st Round
Aug 5
Tiago Pereira
M25 Koszalin · 1st Round
Jul 29
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–62 matches
| Metric | Hrazdil | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 45% |
| Sets won | 42% | 47% |
| Games won | 47% | 49% |