Jan Choinski vs Thiago Agustin TirantePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan Choinski and Thiago Agustin Tirante have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Choinski leads 2–1. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 6 sets to Tirante's 4. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Agustin Tirante won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Agustin Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 23/39 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 38% | 23/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 19% | 3/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 2, Agustin Tirante 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Tirante
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 7, 2023
San Luis Potosi Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 31, 2023
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 2, 2022
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 7% | 1/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -28.6% | +35.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.57u | +4.64u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tirante has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Choinski's 50%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 16 67 | L 46 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 76 26 46 | W 57 64 64 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 16 62 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alex Barrena | W 63 62 | W 75 67 63 |
| Francesco Passaro | W 63 64 | W 64 75 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 67 | W 75 36 64 |
| Diego Dedura | W 64 61 | W 62 63 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 75 60 | L 67 63 57 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 26 76 36 | W 63 76 67 60 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 63 26 | W 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rafael Jodar
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hamad Medjedovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, ARG-TUR 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Adrian Mannarino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–68 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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