Jan Choinski vs Thiago Agustin TirantePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Jan Choinski
#75 · 30 yrs · R
3Title4 meetings · sets 6–4
🇦🇷Thiago Agustin Tirante
#42 · 25 yrs · R
4Jan Choinski and Thiago Agustin Tirante have met 4 times since 2022; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Guayaquil Challenger in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Choinski leads 2–1. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 6 sets to Tirante's 4. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Agustin Tirante won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Agustin Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 27/48 | 59% | 24/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 32/76 | 35% | 23/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/46 | 17% | 3/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 23/30 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 2, Agustin Tirante 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Tirante
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 7, 2023
San Luis Potosi Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 31, 2023
Mexico City Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 2, 2022
Guayaquil Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Tirante | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Thiago Agustin Tirante | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 20/28 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 7/28 | 21% | 3/14 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 2/28 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 7% | 1/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–9 | 9–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | +55.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | +6.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 9 |
| Distance | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | GER → USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tirante has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Choinski's 60%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Jakub Mensik | L 76 26 46 | W 57 64 64 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 16 62 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alex Barrena | W 63 62 | W 75 67 63 |
| Francesco Passaro | W 63 64 | W 64 75 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 46 67 | W 75 36 64 |
| Diego Dedura | W 64 61 | W 62 63 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | W 75 60 | L 67 63 57 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 26 76 36 | W 63 76 67 60 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 63 26 | W 75 63 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | W 64 46 64 | W 36 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Martin Landaluce
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Novak Djokovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Jan Choinski
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Taylor Fritz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 72–78 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 61% |
| Sets won | 58% | 56% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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