Jan Choinski vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan Choinski and Taro Daniel have met 2 times since 2024; Taro Daniel leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hong Kong in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Daniel leads 2–0. Daniel has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 1 sets to Daniel's 4. Their most recent meeting: Taro Daniel won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 27/48 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 32/76 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/46 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 23/30 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 88% | 29/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 76% | 25/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 0, Daniel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Daniel
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 1, 2024
Hong Kong
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 44% | 8/18 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 20/28 | 28% | 5/18 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 7/28 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 2/28 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–9 | 14–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | +67.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | +12.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GER → USA → CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Choinski's 40%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | L 36 46 | L 46 67 |
| Zdenek Kolar | W 64 62 | W 64 63 |
| Federico Cina | L 16 57 | W 76 06 62 |
| Zsombor Piros | W 76 76 | W 63 63 |
| Billy Harris | L 26 36 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Jacob Fearnley
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 22
Jan Choinski
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Duncan Chan
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Botic van de Zandschulp
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Bastad
Jul 13
Federico Coria
Bastad
Jul 12
Valentin Royer
Iasi Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–78 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 63% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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