Jan Choinski vs Mees RottgeringPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฌ๐งJan Choinski
#75 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3Title1 meeting ยท sets 1โ2
๐ณ๐ฑMees Rottgering
#389 ยท 19 yrs ยท L
3Jan Choinski and Mees Rottgering have met 1 time since 2026; Mees Rottgering leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 1 sets to Rottgering's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mees Rottgering won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Rottgering | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Mees Rottgering | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 27/48 | 66% | 19/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 32/76 | 30% | 13/44 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/46 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 23/30 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 73% | 19/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 0, Rottgering 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Rottgering
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ช Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Rottgering | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Mees Rottgering | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 20/28 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 7/28 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 2/28 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18โ9 | 10โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | +3.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | +0.52u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,992 mi ยท 9,643 km | 423 mi ยท 681 km |
| Route | GER โ USA โ CAN โ USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Rottgering's 33%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Fery | W 57 76 62 | L 36 36 |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | L 63 16 16 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 64 57 62 | W 06 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Tomas Machac
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round
Aug 26
Jan Choinski
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Brownsburg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Henry Searle
Brownsburg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Fajing Sun
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Ozan Baris
M25 Louisville ยท Final
Jul 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 44โ78 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 66% |
| Sets won | 58% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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