Jan Choinski vs Mees RottgeringPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan Choinski and Mees Rottgering have met 1 time since 2026; Mees Rottgering leads 1–0. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 1 sets to Rottgering's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mees Rottgering won at Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Rottgering | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Mees Rottgering | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 23/39 | 76% | 25/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 13% | 2/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 21% | 10/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 94% | 29/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 81% | 25/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 0, Rottgering 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Rottgering
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 24, 2026
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Rottgering | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Mees Rottgering | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 12–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -28.6% | +11.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.57u | +2.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Rottgering's 20%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Andrade | W 76 64 | L 36 67 |
| Arthur Fery | W 57 76 62 | L 36 36 |
| Hugo Grenier | L 57 26 | W 64 61 |
| Kyrian Jacquet | W 64 57 62 | L |
| Quentin Halys | W 16 63 76 | L 63 16 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Andy Andrade
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Braden Shick
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Edward Winter
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tomas Machac
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Jan Choinski
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–68 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 69% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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