Jan Choinski vs Mariano Dedura-PalomeroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇬🇧Jan Choinski
#91 · 30 yrs · R
6w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Mariano Dedura-Palomero
#2093 · 20 yrs · R
9wJan Choinski and Mariano Dedura-Palomero have met 1 time since 2026; Jan Choinski leads 1–0. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 2 sets to Dedura-Palomero's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Braunschweig challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Mariano Dedura-Palomero | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 23/39 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 1, Dedura-Palomero 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Dedura-Palomero
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Choinski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Braunschweig challenger
C Clay
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -28.6% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.57u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Choinski and Dedura-Palomero posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Damas | W 46 64 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Lewie Lane
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 10
Dalibor Svrcina
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 8
Lasse Poertner
M25 Kassel · 1st Round
Jul 8
Clement Tabur
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 7
Marcel Volz
M25 Kassel · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–68 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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