Jan Choinski vs Mariano Dedura-PalomeroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Jan Choinski
#75 · 30 yrs · R
3Title1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇩🇪Mariano Dedura-Palomero
#2080 · 20 yrs · R
7wJan Choinski and Mariano Dedura-Palomero have met 1 time since 2026; Jan Choinski leads 1–0. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 2 sets to Dedura-Palomero's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Braunschweig challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Mariano Dedura-Palomero | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 27/48 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 32/76 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/46 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 23/30 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 67% | 2/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 1, Dedura-Palomero 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Dedura-Palomero
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Choinski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 10, 2026
Braunschweig challenger
C Clay
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Mariano Dedura-Palomero | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 20/28 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 7/28 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 2/28 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–9 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | -21.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | -1.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 4 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km | — |
| Route | GER → USA → CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Choinski and Dedura-Palomero posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Miguel Damas | W 46 64 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Lewie Lane
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Jan Choinski
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 10
Lasse Poertner
M25 Kassel · 1st Round
Jul 8
Dalibor Svrcina
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 8
Clement Tabur
Braunschweig challenger
Jul 7
Francisco Comesana
Milan challenger
Jul 1
Miguel Damas
Milan challenger
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–78 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 45% |
| Sets won | 58% | 42% |
| Games won | 53% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Dedura-Palomero |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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