Jan Choinski vs Luka MikrutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฌ๐งJan Choinski
#75 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3Title2 meetings ยท sets 2โ3
๐ญ๐ทLuka Mikrut
#176 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
9wJan Choinski and Luka Mikrut have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Valencia Challenger in 2025 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1โ1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Choinski leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 2 sets to Mikrut's 3. Their most recent meeting: Luka Mikrut won at Bad Rappenau Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | Mikrut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Luka Mikrut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 27/48 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 32/76 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/46 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 23/30 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 0, Mikrut 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Mikrut
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jan Choinski and Luka Mikrut are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
Bad Rappenau Challenger
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Oct 12, 2025
Valencia Challenger
C Clay ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Mikrut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Luka Mikrut | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 20/28 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 7/28 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 2/28 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Mikrut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18โ9 | 4โ1 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | +46.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | +2.33u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Mikrut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | โ |
| Events | 4 | โ |
| Matches | 5 | โ |
| Distance | 5,992 mi ยท 9,643 km | โ |
| Route | GER โ USA โ CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Choinski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Mikrut's 57%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Mikrut |
|---|---|---|
| Diego Dedura | W 64 61 | W 64 64 |
| Chris Rodesch | W 67 63 75 | L 16 26 |
| Dusan Lajovic | W 75 64 | W 63 63 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | W 64 46 64 | W 76 62 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 26 76 36 | L 63 57 26 |
| Kilian Feldbausch | W 61 76 | L 36 63 46 |
| Zdenek Kolar | W 64 62 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger ยท Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 27
Stefano Travaglia
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Diego Dedura
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jun 6
Marvin Moeller
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Jan Choinski
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jun 4
Alex Marti Pujolras
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 2
Nerman Fatic
Roland Garros ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Chris Rodesch
Zagreb Challenger ยท 2nd Round
May 14
Justin Engel
Zagreb Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 34โ78 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Mikrut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 68% |
| Sets won | 58% | 62% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Mikrut |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Mikrut |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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