Jan Choinski vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan Choinski and Jesper de Jong have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Girona Challenger in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 2 sets to Jong's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 27/48 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 32/76 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/46 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 23/30 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 33/36 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 27/36 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 1, de Jong 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jan Choinski and Jesper de Jong are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 26, 2024
Girona Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 28/28 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 27/28 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 20/28 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 7/28 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 2/28 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/28 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 18–9 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | -9.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.53u | -1.55u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km |
| Route | GER → USA → CAN → USA | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jong has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Choinski's 13%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | W 46 60 64 | L 67 16 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 46 67 | W 63 61 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 67 76 67 | L 63 16 36 |
| Laslo Djere | L 67 67 | L 36 57 |
| Federico Cina | L 16 57 | W 63 61 63 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 63 26 | L 57 61 16 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 26 76 36 | W 63 62 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 76 26 46 | W 46 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–78 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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