Jan Choinski vs Jesper de JongPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan Choinski and Jesper de Jong have met 2 times since 2024; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Girona Challenger in 2024 on clay. Across all meetings Choinski has taken 2 sets to Jong's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jan Choinski won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Choinski | de Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Choinski | Jesper de Jong | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 23/39 | 50% | 12/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 10/26 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 43% | 21/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 17/36 | 29% | 10/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 17/32 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 29/32 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 23/32 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Choinski 1, de Jong 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Choinski.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 21, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 26, 2024
Girona Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Choinski | Jong | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Choinski | Jesper de Jong | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.82 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -28.6% | -35.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.57u | -4.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | — | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jong has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Choinski's 22%).
| Opponent | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Zizou Bergs | L 36 36 | L 57 61 26 67 |
| Francesco Passaro | W 63 64 | W 26 62 46 63 62 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 46 60 64 | L 67 16 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 46 67 | W 63 61 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 67 76 67 | L 63 16 36 |
| Laslo Djere | L 67 67 | L 36 57 |
| Federico Cina | L 16 57 | W 63 61 63 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 63 26 | L 57 61 16 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 26 76 36 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–68 matches
| Metric | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Choinski | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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