James McCabe vs Jay FriendPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Guangzhou Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.50 or shorter, Jay Dylan Hara Friend has won 9 of 13 (69%). That is level with the 68% the price implied.
At 2.47 or longer, James McCabe has won 18 of 55 (33%). That is level with the 32% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jay Dylan Hara Friend meets James McCabe in the 2nd Round of the Guangzhou Challenger on October 20 on hard court. Friend is ranked 272nd globally, while McCabe sits at 247th. The two have never faced each other.
Friend has posted a 13-7 record on hard courts overall and arrives in sharp form, winning 7 of his last 10 matches. McCabe comes in colder, with a 7-13 hard court mark and just 2 wins in his last 10 outings. Friend also carries momentum from an eight-match stretch over the past two weeks.
Friend relies on aggressive groundstrokes and heavy shot-making to dictate points. McCabe builds his game around a strong serve and typically looks to shorten rallies. On hard court, Friend's baseline power tends to flourish, while McCabe must impose his serving rhythm early in points to avoid extended exchanges from the back of the court.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | McCabe | Friend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James McCabe | Jay Friend | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 24/36 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 10/31 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 22/67 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 20/42 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 14/25 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 18/38 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 87% | 26/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 24/34 | 70% | 21/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
McCabe
🤖 Servebot
Friend
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,865 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
McCabe and Friend have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | McCabe | Friend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | James McCabe | Jay Friend | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | McCabe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–6 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -67.3% | +12.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.71u | +1.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | McCabe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs McCabe's 33%).
| Opponent | McCabe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Hiroki Moriya | W 64 63 | W 62 60 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | L 46 06 | L 36 46 |
| Leandro Riedi | L 16 46 | W 16 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elias Ymer
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 19
Hayato Matsuoka
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Siddhant Banthia
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lukas Neumayer
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dusan Lajovic
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex Bolt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Ognjen Milic
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Jinan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Alibek Kachmazov
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Alibek Kachmazov
Wuning 3 Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–67 matches
| Metric | McCabe | Friend |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 64% |
| Sets won | 53% | 61% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |