James Connel vs Kian VakiliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
James Connel and Kian Vakili have met 1 time since 2026; James Connel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Connel has taken 2 sets to Vakili's 0. Their most recent meeting: James Connel won at M15 Orange Park (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Connel | Vakili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | James Connel | Kian Vakili | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 19/25 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 2/16 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 8/41 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 9/18 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 23/23 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 100% | 3/3 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Connel 1, Vakili 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Connel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Vakili
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🛡️ The Spoiler is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 115 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 29, 2026
M15 Orange Park
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Connel | Vakili |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | - |
| ROI % | -23.6% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.12u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Connel and Vakili posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Connel | Vakili |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Petroski Rocha | W 63 63 | W 61 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marcus Walters
M15 Baku · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Nicolas Jadoun
M15 Baku · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Ivan Gretskiy
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 29
Arvid Nordquist
M15 Baku · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Louis Larue
M15 Baku · 1st Round
Sep 23
Damien Salvestre
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Ali Yazdani
M15 Monastir · 1st Round
Sep 15
Kasra Rahmani
M15 Monastir · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Alex Michael
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Theofanis Kontopoulos
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Nikola Rachev
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Nikola Rachev
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Joaquim de Almeida
M15 Vero Beach · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 5
Carlos Quinones
M15 Vero Beach · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
James Connel
M15 Orange Park · 1st Round
Apr 29
Michael Antonius
M15 Naples 3 · 1st Round
Feb 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–41 matches
| Metric | Connel | Vakili |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 43% |
| Sets won | 58% | 47% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Connel | Vakili |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Connel | Vakili |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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