Jakub Paul vs Michael VrbenskyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jakub Paul and Michael Vrbensky have met 1 time since 2025; Michael Vrbensky leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paul has taken 0 sets to Vrbensky's 2. Their most recent meeting: Michael Vrbensky won at Lyon (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Vrbensky | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jakub Paul | Michael Vrbensky | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 5/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 2/9 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 6/18 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 7/9 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 50% | 7/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 0, Vrbensky 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Vrbensky
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 878 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 9, 2025
Lyon
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | 3.04 |
| ROI % | +86.7% | -5.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.60u | -0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Vrbensky's 0%).
| Opponent | Paul | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Laurent Lokoli | W 62 62 | L 76 36 06 |
| Matej Dodig | L 57 16 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Niels McDonald
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Svyatoslav Gulin
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Enrico Dalla Valle
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michele Mecarelli
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Valencia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 12
Stefano Napolitano
Copa Faulconbridge · 1st Round Qualifying
May 11
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 29
Olle Wallin
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Kai Wehnelt
Szczecin Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Nikoloz Basilashvili
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Maxime Janvier
San Marino Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Patrik Niklas-Salminen
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Maxime Janvier
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 28
Milos Karol
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–33 matches
| Metric | Paul | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 36% |
| Sets won | 48% | 40% |
| Games won | 50% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Vrbensky |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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