Jakub Paul vs Manuel GuinardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jakub Paul and Manuel Guinard have met 2 times since 2024; Jakub Paul leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Brest Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 2–0. Paul has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Paul has taken 4 sets to Guinard's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jakub Paul won at Lille (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Guinard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jakub Paul | Manuel Guinard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 5/9 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 22% | 2/9 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 6/18 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 2/4 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 7/9 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 56% | 5/9 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 2, Guinard 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Guinard
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 2, 2025
Lille
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 22, 2024
Brest Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Guinard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.53 | - |
| ROI % | +86.7% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.60u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Niels McDonald
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Rudolf Molleker
Prague Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Svyatoslav Gulin
Prague Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Enrico Dalla Valle
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michele Mecarelli
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Valencia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
May 12
Stefano Napolitano
Copa Faulconbridge · 1st Round Qualifying
May 11
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 29
Benjamin Hassan
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Alan Magadan
Cancun · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Gabriele Piraino
Perugia · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Titouan Droguet
Marrakech · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Andres Santamarta Roig
Murcia · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Jan-Lennard Struff
Open 13 Provence - Marseille · 1st Round
Feb 11
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Marseille · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 10
Kamil Majchrzak
Marseille · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–18 matches
| Metric | Paul | Guinard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 0% |
| Sets won | 48% | 33% |
| Games won | 50% | 37% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Guinard |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Guinard |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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