Jakub Paul vs Keegan SmithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jakub Paul and Keegan Smith have met 1 time since 2026; Keegan Smith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Paul has taken 0 sets to Smith's 2. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Smith won at Open Saint-Brieuc Armor Agglomération (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Smith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jakub Paul | Keegan Smith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 72% | 48/67 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 47% | 15/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 5/18 | 34% | 34/99 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 4/5 | 59% | 35/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 4/11 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 54% | 27/50 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 85% | 56/66 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 73% | 48/66 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 0, Smith 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
🪃 Counterpuncher
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 23, 2026
Open Saint-Brieuc Armor Agglomération
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 2.25 |
| ROI % | -40.0% | +31.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.80u | +4.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Enrico Dalla Valle
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michele Mecarelli
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Stefano Napolitano
Copa Faulconbridge · 1st Round Qualifying
May 11
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Copa Faulconbridge · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 1
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Alexandre Muller
Naples Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 24
John Sperle
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 3
Laurent Lokoli
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paul Inchauspe
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Digvijay Pratap Singh
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nerman Fatic
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Niels McDonald
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Zsombor Piros
Brasov Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Guido Ivan Justo
Brasov Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 18–99 matches
| Metric | Paul | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 68% |
| Sets won | 44% | 64% |
| Games won | 48% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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