Jakub Paul vs John SperlePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ญJakub Paul
#863 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
11w1 meeting ยท sets 2โ1
๐ฉ๐ชJohn Sperle
#820 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
4Jakub Paul and John Sperle have met 1 time since 2026; Jakub Paul leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Paul has taken 2 sets to Sperle's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jakub Paul won at Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Paul | Sperle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jakub Paul | John Sperle | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 6/7 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 4/11 | 21% | 5/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 5/18 | 23% | 12/52 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 4/5 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 36% | 4/11 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 71% | 5/7 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 93% | 25/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 78% | 21/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Paul 0, Sperle 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Paul
๐ช Counterpuncher
Sperle
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
๐ช Counterpuncher vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 3, 2026
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup
C Clay ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Paul | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1โ1 | 10โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -40.0% | -15.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.80u | -2.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Paul | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 3 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 8 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | โ | GER โ BEL โ HUN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Enrico Dalla Valle
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michele Mecarelli
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Stefano Napolitano
Copa Faulconbridge ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 11
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Copa Faulconbridge ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
May 1
Dusan Lajovic
Grand Prix Hassan II ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 30
Alexandre Muller
Naples Challenger ยท 1st Round
Mar 24
John Sperle
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 3
Laurent Lokoli
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Stepan Baum
M15 Pecs ยท Semifinals
Aug 29
Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Pecs ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Kolos Kincses
M15 Pecs ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Tomas Lanik
M15 Pecs ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Rafael Giotis
M15 Lambermont ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Justas Trainauskas
M15 Lambermont ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Marlon Vankan
M15 Trier ยท 2nd Round
Aug 13
Linus Lagerbohm
M15 Trier ยท 1st Round
Aug 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 18โ52 matches
| Metric | Paul | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 39% | 54% |
| Sets won | 44% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Paul | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Paul | Sperle |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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