Jack Kennedy vs Keaton HancePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jack Kennedy and Keaton Hance have met 3 times since 2025; Jack Kennedy leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Orlando 3 in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Kennedy leads 3–0. Kennedy has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kennedy has taken 6 sets to Hance's 2. Their most recent meeting: Jack Kennedy won at M25 Mataro (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kennedy | Hance | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jack Kennedy | Keaton Hance | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 16/35 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 9/18 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 28/53 | 20% | 7/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 38% | 11/29 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 12/18 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 14/23 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 28/32 | 100% | 21/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 16/32 | 81% | 17/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kennedy 1, Hance 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kennedy
⚔️ The Gladiator
Hance
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keaton Hance.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 22, 2026
M25 Mataro
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 10, 2026
M15 Boca Raton
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 13, 2025
M15 Orlando 3
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kennedy | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–3 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 3.66 | 3.49 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +22.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.00u | +1.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kennedy | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kennedy has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Hance's 60%).
| Opponent | Kennedy | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Nishesh Basavareddy | L 36 06 | L 26 64 36 |
| Nick Hardt | W 75 75 | L 36 26 |
| Davide Tortora | W 46 63 76 | W 75 64 |
| Davide Tortora | W 46 63 76 | W 75 64 |
| Tristan McCormick | W 36 76 64 | W 62 26 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Liam Draxl
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Lloyd Harris
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Anton Shepp
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Evan Zhu
M25 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 7
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Liam Broady
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Kaichi Uchida
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Duncan Chan
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Michael Antonius
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Andres Martin
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Naoya Honda
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–54 matches
| Metric | Kennedy | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 60% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kennedy | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kennedy | Hance |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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