Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Niels ViskerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Olbia Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 4:10 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.35 or longer, Ivan Marrero Curbelo has won 6 of 23 (26%). The price implied 32%, so Ivan Marrero Curbelo has fallen 6 points short of it.
At 1.52 or shorter, Niels Visker has won 10 of 12 (83%). The price implied 67%, so Niels Visker has beaten it by 16 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Ivan Marrero Curbelo faces Niels Visker in the 3rd Round Qualifying of the Olbia Challenger on October 12 on hard court. The two players rank 370th and 415th respectively and meet for the first time. Both carry identical hard court records of 12-8 over their recent sample.
Visker has momentum in the qualifying run, posting a 60% win rate over his last ten matches and a current one-match streak. Marrero Curbelo arrives off a loss, winning only two of his last five and two of his last ten. The pair recently faced a common opponent in Vladyslav Orlov, with Visker earning the win while Marrero Curbelo fell short.
Marrero Curbelo operates as a counterpuncher who constructs points through positioning and reaction rather than pace. Visker builds his game around serving, relying on that weapon to dictate terms and hold breaks. On hard court, both players have won at a 60% clip, suggesting comfort with the surface. The match will test whether Marrero Curbelo can consistently neutralize Visker's serve and convert opportunities when they arise.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marrero Curbelo | Visker | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Niels Visker | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 30/42 | 82% | 31/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 20/64 | 22% | 14/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 22/36 | 70% | 21/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 54% | 20/37 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 88% | 36/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 30/39 | 76% | 31/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curbelo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Visker
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Niels Visker.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Curbelo and Visker have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curbelo | Visker | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Niels Visker | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 1/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Visker |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | +7.0% | +15.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.12u | +2.65u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Visker |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Visker has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Curbelo's 50%).
| Opponent | Curbelo | Visker |
|---|---|---|
| Leo Matthysen | W 64 61 | W 62 62 |
| Karan Singh | W | L 46 46 |
| Vladyslav Orlov | L 36 75 67 | W 36 75 61 |
| Ilia Simakin | L 36 63 16 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Colombo
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Joshua Sheehy
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Luca Potenza
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Oskari Paldanius
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 26
Davide Vargiu
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marko Topo
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Niels McDonald
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Tom Paris
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniel Siniakov
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–64 matches
| Metric | Curbelo | Visker |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 60% |
| Sets won | 62% | 59% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |