Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Nicolas TepmahcPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Ivan Marrero Curbelo
#351 · 27 yrs · R
32 meetings · sets 4–1
🇫🇷Nicolas Tepmahc
#616 · 25 yrs · R
7wIvan Marrero Curbelo and Nicolas Tepmahc have met 2 times since 2025; Ivan Marrero Curbelo leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M15 Kayseri 7 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Curbelo leads 2–0. Curbelo has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Curbelo has taken 4 sets to Tepmahc's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ivan Marrero Curbelo won at M15 Kayseri (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marrero Curbelo | Tepmahc | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Nicolas Tepmahc | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 36/51 | 79% | 41/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 29% | 9/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/70 | 24% | 20/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 24/38 | 57% | 30/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 43/46 | 96% | 46/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 36/46 | 85% | 41/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marrero Curbelo 1, Tepmahc 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curbelo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tepmahc
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 20, 2026
M15 Kayseri
H Hard · Semifinals
Sep 19, 2025
M15 Kayseri 7
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curbelo | Tepmahc | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Nicolas Tepmahc | ||
| 1 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Tepmahc |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +23.2% | -49.2% |
| Units P/L | +4.40u | -4.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Tepmahc |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 5,550 mi · 8,932 km | — |
| Route | POL → JAM | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Curbelo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Tepmahc's 33%).
| Opponent | Curbelo | Tepmahc |
|---|---|---|
| Demetris Azoides | L 67 36 | W 64 63 |
| Daniel De Jonge | W 61 62 | L 26 46 |
| Daniel De Jonge | W 61 62 | L 26 46 |
| Samir Hamza Reguig | W 75 62 | W 64 62 |
| Phillip Jordan | W 63 67 75 | L 46 57 |
| Phillip Jordan | W 63 67 75 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 26
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Maks Kasnikowski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Filip Peliwo
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Moro Canas
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Facundo Mena
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Keshav Chopra
M15 Kayseri · Final
Jun 21
Pavel Lagutin
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 12
Theo Herrmann
M15 Kayseri · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Theo Herrmann
Futures 2026
Jun 25
Melih Anavatan
M15 Kayseri · 1st Round
Jun 24
Ammar Alhogbani
M15 Kayseri · Quarterfinals
Jun 20
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
M15 Kayseri · Semifinals
Jun 20
Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin
Futures 2026
Jun 18
Cem Christopher Kucukhuseyin
M15 Kayseri · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–84 matches
| Metric | Curbelo | Tepmahc |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 63% |
| Sets won | 67% | 61% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Curbelo | Tepmahc |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Curbelo | Tepmahc |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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