Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Mathys ErhardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Mathys Erhard have met 2 times since 2025; Mathys Erhard leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Tenerife 2 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Erhard leads 2–0. Erhard has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Curbelo has taken 1 sets to Erhard's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mathys Erhard won at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marrero Curbelo | Erhard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Mathys Erhard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 36/51 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 30% | 11/37 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/70 | 31% | 23/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 24/38 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 43/46 | 78% | 29/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 36/46 | 70% | 26/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marrero Curbelo 0, Erhard 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curbelo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Erhard
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mathys Erhard.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 7, 2026
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 9, 2025
Tenerife 2
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curbelo | Erhard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Mathys Erhard | ||
| 1 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 30% | 6/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | +23.2% | +24.7% |
| Units P/L | +4.40u | +5.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,550 mi · 8,932 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → JAM | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Erhard has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Curbelo's 17%).
| Opponent | Curbelo | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Olaf Pieczkowski | L 16 36 | W 57 75 61 |
| Demetris Azoides | L 67 36 | W 63 63 |
| Alejandro Moro Canas | L 36 46 | L 67 46 |
| Hynek Barton | L 26 26 | L 67 26 |
| Matthew Summers | W 76 63 | W 76 76 |
| Dali Blanch | L 63 36 67 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 26
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Maks Kasnikowski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Filip Peliwo
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Moro Canas
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Facundo Mena
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Keshav Chopra
M15 Kayseri · Final
Jun 21
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Damir Dzumhur
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Olaf Pieczkowski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Ollersbach · Final
Jul 26
Andrej Martin
M25 Ollersbach · Semifinals
Jul 25
Thilo Behrmann
M25 Ollersbach · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ollersbach · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–75 matches
| Metric | Curbelo | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 51% |
| Sets won | 67% | 50% |
| Games won | 57% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Curbelo | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Curbelo | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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