Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maks KasnikowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Maks Kasnikowski have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Curbelo has taken 3 sets to Kasnikowski's 3. Their most recent meeting: Maks Kasnikowski won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marrero Curbelo | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 30/42 | 79% | 42/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 19/63 | 35% | 29/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 22/36 | 62% | 38/61 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 35/38 | 82% | 47/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 30/38 | 74% | 42/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marrero Curbelo 0, Kasnikowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curbelo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kasnikowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maks Kasnikowski.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 7, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 6, 2026
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curbelo | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +7.0% | -27.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.12u | -4.35u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasnikowski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Curbelo's 33%).
| Opponent | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Philip Henning | L 57 06 | L 67 16 |
| Andy Andrade | L 46 26 | W 76 61 |
| Hynek Barton | L 26 26 | W 57 64 75 |
| Calvin Hemery | L 26 62 16 | L 64 67 36 |
| Karan Singh | W | W 63 61 |
| Timofei Derepasko | W 57 75 76 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Colombo
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Joshua Sheehy
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Luca Potenza
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Oskari Paldanius
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 26
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alex de Minaur
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Francesco Maestrelli
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Christian Langmo
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elmer Moller
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–83 matches
| Metric | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 64% |
| Sets won | 63% | 64% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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