Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Maks KasnikowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Ivan Marrero Curbelo
#351 · 27 yrs · R
31 meeting · sets 2–1
🇵🇱Maks Kasnikowski
#253 · 23 yrs · R
4wIvan Marrero Curbelo and Maks Kasnikowski have met 1 time since 2026; Ivan Marrero Curbelo leads 1–0. Across all meetings Curbelo has taken 2 sets to Kasnikowski's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ivan Marrero Curbelo won at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marrero Curbelo | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 36/51 | 81% | 43/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 6/19 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 21/70 | 34% | 27/80 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 24/38 | 66% | 39/59 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 12/19 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 8/18 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 43/46 | 82% | 46/56 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 36/46 | 77% | 43/56 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marrero Curbelo 0, Kasnikowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curbelo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kasnikowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maks Kasnikowski.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 6, 2026
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curbelo | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| 1 or more | 55% | 11/20 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 61% | 11/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 6% | 1/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 10–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | +23.2% | -17.6% |
| Units P/L | +4.40u | -3.34u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 5,550 mi · 8,932 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → JAM | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasnikowski has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Curbelo's 33%).
| Opponent | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Andrade | L 46 26 | W 76 61 |
| Hynek Barton | L 26 26 | W 57 64 75 |
| Demetris Azoides | L 67 36 | W 62 61 |
| Calvin Hemery | L 26 62 16 | L 64 67 36 |
| Timofei Derepasko | W 57 75 76 | W 76 62 |
| Matthew Summers | W 76 63 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 26
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Maks Kasnikowski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Filip Peliwo
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Moro Canas
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Facundo Mena
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Keshav Chopra
M15 Kayseri · Final
Jun 21
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Philip Henning
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Frederico Ferreira Silva
Liberec Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Otto Virtanen
Tampere Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Hynek Barton
Tampere Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Eero Vasa
Tampere Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Louis Wessels
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Francesco Passaro
Bastad
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–80 matches
| Metric | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 66% |
| Sets won | 67% | 66% |
| Games won | 57% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Curbelo | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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