Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Luca PotenzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Luca Potenza have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Potenza leads 1–0. Across all meetings Curbelo has taken 1 sets to Potenza's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Potenza won at Porto Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marrero Curbelo | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Luca Potenza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 30/42 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 19/63 | 41% | 24/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 22/36 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 35/38 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 30/38 | 50% | 16/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marrero Curbelo 0, Potenza 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curbelo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Potenza
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Luca Potenza are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Porto Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curbelo | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Luca Potenza | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | +7.0% | +24.6% |
| Units P/L | +1.12u | +3.44u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | POR | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Curbelo and Potenza posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Curbelo | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Leo Matthysen | W 64 61 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Colombo
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Joshua Sheehy
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Luca Potenza
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Oskari Paldanius
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 26
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Finn Bass
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 59–63 matches
| Metric | Curbelo | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 47% |
| Sets won | 63% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Curbelo | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Curbelo | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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