Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Joshua SheehyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
πͺπΈIvan Marrero Curbelo
#370 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
1 meeting Β· sets 2β1
πΊπΈJoshua Sheehy
#772 Β· 29 yrs Β· L
3Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Joshua Sheehy have met 1 time since 2026; Ivan Marrero Curbelo leads 1β0. Across all meetings Curbelo has taken 2 sets to Sheehy's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ivan Marrero Curbelo won at Villena Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marrero Curbelo | Sheehy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Joshua Sheehy | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 30/42 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 19/63 | 41% | 11/27 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 22/36 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 35/38 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 30/38 | 54% | 7/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marrero Curbelo 0, Sheehy 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Curbelo
πͺ Counterpuncher
Sheehy
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
The π€ Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Joshua Sheehy.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 4, 2026
Villena Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Curbelo | Sheehy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ivan Marrero Curbelo | Joshua Sheehy | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 6/13 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 3 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 100% | 3/3 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 33% | 1/3 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/3 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/3 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9β7 | 0β6 |
| Avg odds | 2.48 | 2.90 |
| ROI % | +7.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.12u | -6.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Curbelo | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 1 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | POR | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Curbelo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Sheehy's 0%).
| Opponent | Curbelo | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| Quinn Vandecasteele | W 75 67 64 | L 36 46 |
| Leo Matthysen | W 64 61 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrea Colombo
Olbia Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Joshua Sheehy
Villena Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Luca Potenza
Porto Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 7
Oskari Paldanius
Manacor Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 27
Blaise Bicknell
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 26
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Villena Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Patrick Zahraj
Rennes Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Evan Zhu
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Luis Britto
Kingston 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Abedallah Shelbayh
Lexington Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Renta Tokuda
Vancouver Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Edward Winter
Winnipeg Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Christian Langmo
Lincoln Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 27β63 matches
| Metric | Curbelo | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 33% |
| Sets won | 63% | 42% |
| Games won | 55% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Curbelo | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Curbelo | Sheehy |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.