Ivan Denisov vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ivan Denisov and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2025; Luca Castagnola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Denisov has taken 1 sets to Castagnola's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at Tampere (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Denisov | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Denisov | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 56% | 15/27 | |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/2 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/2 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 11/25 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 47% | 7/15 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 74% | 20/27 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 56% | 15/27 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Denisov 0, Castagnola 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Denisov
⚙️ Grinder
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ⚙️ Grinder archetype wins about 54% vs 🧱 The Wall across 318 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ivan Denisov.
Grinder players often use relentless consistency and deep court positioning to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 20, 2025
Tampere
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 12–10 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.31 |
| ROI % | - | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | - | -0.97u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | GER → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefan Vujic
M15 Maanshan · Round of 32
Sep 10
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Maanshan 8 · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Stefan Palosi
M15 Arad 1 · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Arad 1 · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Andrei Cuceu
M15 Arad 1 · 1st Round
Aug 20
Andrei Cuceu
M15 Arad · Round of 32
Aug 20
Luca Castagnola
Tampere · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Kristjan Tamm
M15 Poprad · Round of 16
Jul 17
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Luca Parenti
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Final
Jul 19
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 2–62 matches
| Metric | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 0% | 44% |
| Sets won | 0% | 45% |
| Games won | 29% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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