Ivan Denisov vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ivan Denisov and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2025; Luca Castagnola leads 1–0. Across all meetings Denisov has taken 1 sets to Castagnola's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Castagnola won at Tampere (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Denisov | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ivan Denisov | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 66% | 19/29 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 40% | 14/35 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 38% | 24/64 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 53% | 16/30 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 45% | 14/31 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 57% | 8/14 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 79% | 22/28 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 68% | 19/28 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Denisov 0, Castagnola 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Denisov
⚙️ Grinder
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 98 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 20, 2025
Tampere
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.22 |
| ROI % | - | -20.8% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.32u |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefan Vujic
M15 Maanshan · Round of 32
Sep 10
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Maanshan 8 · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Stefan Palosi
M15 Arad 1 · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Arad 1 · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Andrei Cuceu
M15 Arad 1 · 1st Round
Aug 20
Andrei Cuceu
M15 Arad · Round of 32
Aug 20
Luca Castagnola
Tampere · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Kristjan Tamm
M15 Poprad · Round of 16
Jul 17
Robert Strombachs
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Jan Werblinski
M15 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 30
Fares Zakaria
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Jan Hrazdil
M25 Sharm ElSheikh · 1st Round
Sep 23
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
M15 Bologna · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Matic Hribar
M15 Bologna · 1st Round
Sep 2
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–64 matches
| Metric | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 45% |
| Sets won | - | 47% |
| Games won | - | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Denisov | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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