Illya Marchenko vs Minghui ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Illya Marchenko and Minghui Zhang have met 1 time since 2025; Illya Marchenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marchenko has taken 2 sets to Zhang's 1. Their most recent meeting: Illya Marchenko won at M25 Qian Daohu 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marchenko | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Illya Marchenko | Minghui Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 2/5 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 50% | 2/4 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marchenko 0, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 311 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Illya Marchenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
M25 Qian Daohu 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.99 |
| ROI % | - | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Sanchez Jover
M25 Antalya 1 · 2nd Round
Jan 8
Cagan Efe Tufecki
M25 Antalya · Round of 32
Jan 7
Cagan Efe Tufekci
M25 Antalya 1 · 1st Round
Jan 7
Minghui Zhang
M25 Qian Daohu 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Minghui Zhang
M25 Qian Daohu · Round of 32
Oct 29
Christian Langmo
Brisbane 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 28
Thomas Braithwaite
Brisbane 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 27
Joshua Charlton
Brisbane 1 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 26
Zhao Zhao
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 15
Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 1
Yaojie Zeng
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Jun 3
Yaojie Zeng
M15 Luan · Quarterfinals
May 29
Tsung-Hao Huang
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
May 28
Emiliano Jorquera
M15 Luan · 1st Round
May 27
Aoran Wang
M15 Luan · 1st Round
May 20
Michael Zhu
M25 Anning · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 5–9 matches
| Metric | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 80% | 22% |
| Sets won | 67% | 32% |
| Games won | 57% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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