Illya Marchenko vs Minghui ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Illya Marchenko and Minghui Zhang have met 1 time since 2025; Illya Marchenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Marchenko has taken 2 sets to Zhang's 1. Their most recent meeting: Illya Marchenko won at M25 Qian Daohu 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marchenko | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Illya Marchenko | Minghui Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 3/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 3/7 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 3/4 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/1 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 67% | 4/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marchenko 0, Zhang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marchenko
🤖 Servebot
Zhang
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 91 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Illya Marchenko.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Oct 29, 2025
M25 Qian Daohu 1
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 0–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 4.13 |
| ROI % | - | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marchenko has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Zhang's 0%).
| Opponent | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Aristeidis Lafazanos | W 62 76 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Masaya Kobayashi
M15 Antalya 4 · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 22
Carlos Sanchez Jover
M25 Antalya 1 · 2nd Round
Jan 8
Cagan Efe Tufecki
M25 Antalya · Round of 32
Jan 7
Cagan Efe Tufekci
M25 Antalya 1 · 1st Round
Jan 7
Pavle Daljev
M25 Antalya 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jan 6
Aristeidis Lafazanos
M25 Antalya 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 5
Minghui Zhang
M25 Qian Daohu 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Minghui Zhang
M25 Qian Daohu · Round of 32
Oct 29
Kazuki Nakajima
M25 Luan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Kosuke Ogura
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 30
Chase Ferguson
M25 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 16
Zhao Zhao
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 15
Masaki Ishikawa
M15 Wuning · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 7
Ryuichiro Nakano
M15 Wuning · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 6
Pol Shifer
M15 Wuning · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Fitriadi M Rifqi
M15 Wuning · 1st Round
Jul 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–20 matches
| Metric | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 35% |
| Sets won | 71% | 40% |
| Games won | 59% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marchenko | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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