Ilia Simakin vs Timofei DerepaskoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ท๐บIlia Simakin
#154 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
Title1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ท๐บTimofei Derepasko
#662 ยท 19 yrs ยท R
3Ilia Simakin and Timofei Derepasko have met 1 time since 2026; Ilia Simakin leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Simakin has taken 2 sets to Derepasko's 0. Their most recent meeting: Ilia Simakin won at Phan Thiet 4 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Simakin | Derepasko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilia Simakin | Timofei Derepasko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 29/54 | 83% | 33/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 32% | 12/37 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 36/80 | 25% | 19/77 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 26/52 | 48% | 22/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 82% | 37/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 29/45 | 73% | 33/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Simakin 1, Derepasko 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Simakin
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Derepasko
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Ilia Simakin and Timofei Derepasko are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 15, 2026
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Simakin | Derepasko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilia Simakin | Timofei Derepasko | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 16/22 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 5/22 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Simakin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21โ2 | 10โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.38 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | +25.4% | -13.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.85u | -2.40u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Simakin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,643 mi ยท 2,644 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | VIE โ CHN | VIE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Simakin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Derepasko's 44%).
| Opponent | Simakin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Omar Jasika | W 63 60 | L 36 26 |
| Filip Peliwo | W 60 62 | W 63 76 |
| Cruz Hewitt | W 63 61 | L 36 26 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 64 63 | L 57 36 |
| Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong | W 63 67 63 | W 26 64 64 |
| Max Houkes | W 62 63 | L 36 46 |
| Dominik Palan | W 64 46 64 | W 62 63 |
| Ivan Marrero Curbelo | W 63 36 61 | L 75 57 67 |
| Aleksandre Bakshi | W 61 62 | W 75 20 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Luka Pavlovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท Final
Sep 20
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Cruz Hewitt
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Timofei Derepasko
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Omar Jasika
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Filip Peliwo
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Sergey Fomin
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Matic Dimic
M15 Telavi ยท 1st Round
Sep 28
Francesco Ferrari
M15 Telavi ยท 1st Round
Sep 23
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Taisei Ichikawa
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Stefan Storch
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 77โ80 matches
| Metric | Simakin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 52% |
| Sets won | 61% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Simakin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Simakin | Derepasko |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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