Ilia Simakin vs Sergio Callejon HernandoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Phan Thiet 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 6 · 11:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.15 or shorter, Ilia Simakin has won 16 of 17 (94%). The price implied 86%, so Ilia Simakin has beaten it by 8 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Sergio Callejon Hernando meets Ilia Simakin in the 1st Round of the Phan Thiet 3 Challenger on September 6. The hard court contest pits Spain's Callejon Hernando, ranked 485th, against Russia's Simakin at 275th. This will be their second career meeting after Simakin won their only prior encounter.
Simakin arrives in sharp form, having won four straight matches and taking 8 of his last 10 decisions. Callejon Hernando has struggled over the same span, winning just 2 of his last 10 and entering on a one-match losing streak. Both players faced Pol Martin Tiffon recently; Simakin prevailed while Callejon Hernando fell short. The two also share a win over Denis Yevseyev in their recent records.
Callejon Hernando attacks from the baseline with aggression and physicality, posting a 60% win rate on hard courts in the sample. Simakin is a power striker who moves the ball with pace and depth, holding a 65% mark on the surface. The match will test whether Callejon Hernando can impose consistency and court positioning against Simakin's firepower, or whether Simakin's current run and serve command will control the tempo.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Simakin | Callejon Hernando | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilia Simakin | Sergio Callejon Hernando | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 22/40 | 78% | 39/50 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 11/27 | 27% | 8/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 29/67 | 24% | 19/80 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | 60% | 33/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 14/30 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 90% | 44/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 22/35 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Simakin
💥 Big Hitter
Hernando
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,466 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ilia Simakin.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Simakin and Hernando have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Simakin | Hernando | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilia Simakin | Sergio Callejon Hernando | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Simakin | Hernando |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 10–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | +1.6% | -26.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.24u | -4.94u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Simakin | Hernando |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 4,892 mi · 7,873 km | — |
| Route | TUR → CHN | POR → ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Simakin and Hernando posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Simakin | Hernando |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Yevseyev | W 61 62 | W 63 61 |
| Pol Martin Tiffon | W 26 63 75 | L 36 16 |
| Gauthier Onclin | L 26 46 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kasidit Samrej
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Final
Sep 6
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Ilya Ivashka
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Matthew Dellavedova
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Denis Yevseyev
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Lucas Poullain
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Antoine Ghibaudo
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Florent Bax
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Manacor Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 1
Viktor Durasovic
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-a-Nova · 1st Round
Aug 11
Izan Almazan Valiente
M25+H Tauste · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Luka Talan Lopatic
M25+H Tauste · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jaume Casas Blasi
M25+H Tauste · 1st Round
Aug 4
Takuya Kumasaka
Segovia Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Nicolas Tepmahc
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–80 matches
| Metric | Simakin | Hernando |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 63% |
| Sets won | 56% | 60% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |