Ilia Simakin vs Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ilia Simakin
#154 · 22 yrs · R
Title1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇲🇽Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
#266 · 21 yrs · L
4wIlia Simakin and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez have met 1 time since 2026; Ilia Simakin leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Simakin leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Simakin has taken 2 sets to Mendez's 1. Their most recent meeting: Ilia Simakin won at Phan Thiet 4 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Simakin | Pacheco Mendez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilia Simakin | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 29/54 | 73% | 22/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 36/80 | 29% | 16/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 26/52 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 77% | 24/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 29/45 | 71% | 22/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Simakin 0, Pacheco Mendez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Simakin
💥 Big Hitter
Mendez
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ilia Simakin.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 20, 2026
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Simakin | Mendez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilia Simakin | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 16/22 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 5/22 | 29% | 4/14 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Simakin | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–2 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.38 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | +25.4% | -6.9% |
| Units P/L | +5.85u | -1.10u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Simakin | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,643 mi · 2,644 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | VIE → CHN | VIE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Simakin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Mendez's 67%).
| Opponent | Simakin | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Luka Pavlovic | W 46 64 61 | L 62 46 67 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 64 63 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Weber | W 64 76 | W 64 62 |
| Sergio Callejon Hernando | W 76 26 62 | W 63 75 |
| Max Purcell | W 63 26 62 | L 36 46 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | W 46 75 76 | W 76 62 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 36 | W 67 75 62 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | W 36 64 63 | W 64 46 63 |
| Robin Bertrand | W 76 57 64 | L 75 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Luka Pavlovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Cruz Hewitt
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Timofei Derepasko
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Ilia Simakin
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Moise Kouame
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Max Purcell
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 28
Miguel Tobon
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–80 matches
| Metric | Simakin | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 54% |
| Sets won | 61% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Simakin | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Simakin | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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