Ilia Simakin vs Martin LandalucePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Jinan Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.59 or shorter, Martin Landaluce has won 35 of 59 (59%). The price implied 66%, so Martin Landaluce has fallen 7 points short of it.
At 2.28 or longer, Ilia Simakin has won 6 of 17 (35%). That is level with the 36% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Martin Landaluce and Ilia Simakin meet in the first round of the Jinan Challenger on October 12 on hard court. Landaluce, ranked 73rd, comes in off a pair of losses. Simakin sits at 154th and arrives with a single loss in his last outing.
The two have no prior head-to-head record. On hard courts, Simakin has posted an 18-2 mark while Landaluce stands at 11-9. Over his last five matches, Simakin won four; Landaluce won one of five. Simakin has also played three matches in the past two weeks compared to Landaluce's two.
Landaluce operates from the baseline with steady groundstrokes. Simakin is a power hitter who strikes through the court. The first-round test asks whether Landaluce can construct points methodically enough to withstand Simakin's pace and depth off the ground, while Simakin must sustain his recent hard-court form and avoid the kind of inconsistency that cost him his last match.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Simakin | Landaluce | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilia Simakin | Martin Landaluce | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 54% | 29/54 | 58% | 18/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 36/80 | 47% | 27/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 26/52 | 28% | 8/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 16/33 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 39/45 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 29/45 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Simakin
💥 Big Hitter
Landaluce
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 1,249 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Simakin and Landaluce have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Simakin | Landaluce | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilia Simakin | Martin Landaluce | ||
| 1 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 96% | 21/22 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 16/22 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 10 or more | 23% | 5/22 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/22 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/22 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Simakin | Landaluce |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 21–2 | 3–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.38 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | +25.4% | -44.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.85u | -4.90u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Simakin | Landaluce |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,643 mi · 2,644 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | VIE → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Landaluce has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Simakin's 0%).
| Opponent | Simakin | Landaluce |
|---|---|---|
| Soonwoo Kwon | L 67 36 | L 46 36 36 |
| Soon Woo Kwon | L 67 36 | L 46 36 36 |
| Marco Cecchinato | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 36 36 | L 26 76 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rigele Te
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Luka Pavlovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Cruz Hewitt
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Blake Ellis
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Timofei Derepasko
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Marco Trungelliti
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Matias Soto
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP 0-4 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Dusan Lajovic
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Mattia Bellucci
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Matteo Arnaldi
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 67–80 matches
| Metric | Simakin | Landaluce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 49% |
| Sets won | 61% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |