Ilia Simakin vs Lucas PoullainPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Ilia Simakin and Lucas Poullain have met 1 time since 2026; Lucas Poullain leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Poullain leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Simakin has taken 1 sets to Poullain's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lucas Poullain won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Simakin | Poullain | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ilia Simakin | Lucas Poullain | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 47% | 18/38 | 74% | 31/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 11/26 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/64 | 26% | 18/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 15/37 | 60% | 28/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 89% | 33/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 18/31 | 84% | 31/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Simakin 0, Poullain 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Simakin
💥 Big Hitter
Poullain
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,159 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ilia Simakin.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 9, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Simakin | Poullain | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ilia Simakin | Lucas Poullain | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 83% | 15/18 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 39% | 7/18 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 3/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 9% | 1/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Simakin | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -2.4% | +21.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.31u | +3.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Simakin | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 10 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,558 mi · 2,507 km |
| Route | TUR | TUR → GBR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Simakin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Poullain's 50%).
| Opponent | Simakin | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Maxime Janvier | W 46 62 76 | W 64 76 |
| Tom Paris | W 67 63 64 | W 64 76 |
| Gauthier Onclin | L 26 46 | L 46 46 |
| Federico Cina | W 63 36 63 | L 16 36 |
| Aleksandre Bakshi | W 61 62 | L 46 26 |
| Nikita Bilozertsev | L 46 16 | W 26 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lucas Poullain
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Antoine Ghibaudo
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Florent Bax
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Fajing Sun
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Adrian Boitan
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Lautaro Midon
Iasi Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Tomas Barrios Vera
Iasi Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Brasov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Oliver Tarvet
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 22
Lui Maxted
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Michael Geerts
Roehampton 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Viktor Durasovic
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Max Basing
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Ilia Simakin
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Gijs Brouwer
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Kenta Miyoshi
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–69 matches
| Metric | Simakin | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 61% |
| Sets won | 55% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Simakin | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Simakin | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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