Igor Marcondes vs Pedro SakamotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Igor Marcondes and Pedro Sakamoto have met 5 times since 2015; Pedro Sakamoto leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Porto Alegre in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Sakamoto leads 3–2. Across all meetings Marcondes has taken 5 sets to Sakamoto's 7. Their most recent meeting: Igor Marcondes won at Brasilia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marcondes | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Igor Marcondes | Pedro Sakamoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 30/39 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 14/55 | 32% | 19/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 13/21 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 13/20 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 32/35 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Marcondes 1, Sakamoto 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marcondes
💥 Big Hitter
Sakamoto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 3, 2026
Brasilia Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 17, 2025
M25 Londrina 1
C Clay · 2nd Round
Sep 13, 2025
M25 Cuiaba 1
C Clay · Semifinals
Nov 23, 2020
Sao Paulo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 28, 2015
Porto Alegre
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marcondes | Sakamoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Igor Marcondes | Pedro Sakamoto | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marcondes | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | +27.9% | -0.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.23u | -0.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marcondes | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Marcondes has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Sakamoto's 0%).
| Opponent | Marcondes | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | W 64 62 | L 75 57 36 |
| Valerio Aboian | W 63 62 | L 67 67 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | L 26 06 | L 76 26 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrew Fenty
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · Final
Sep 27
Timo Legout
San Diego 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Federico Agustin Gomez
San Diego 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Patrick Maloney
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Ozan Baris
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nishesh Basavareddy
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Lautaro Midon
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Eduardo Ribeiro
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Santiago De La Fuente
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Mateus Alves
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–59 matches
| Metric | Marcondes | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 61% |
| Sets won | 67% | 59% |
| Games won | 56% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marcondes | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
| ITF M25 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marcondes | Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 3 |
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