Hugo Grenier vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทHugo Grenier
#255 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 2โ6

๐ท๐บPavel Kotov
#247 ยท 27 yrs ยท R
5wHugo Grenier and Pavel Kotov have met 4 times since 2019; Pavel Kotov leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Segovia in 2019 on hard. On clay courts Kotov leads 2โ0. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Kotov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Grenier has taken 2 sets to Kotov's 6. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Kotov won at Roland Garros (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Grenier | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Grenier | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Grenier 1, Kotov 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Grenier
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Kotov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Hugo Grenier and Pavel Kotov are ๐ฅ Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 22, 2022
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
May 6, 2022
Aix En Provence Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 27, 2021
Segovia Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 3, 2019
Segovia
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Grenier | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Grenier | Pavel Kotov | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Grenier | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4โ5 | 1โ3 |
| Avg odds | 3.19 | 2.11 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | -72.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.43u | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Grenier | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 1 | โ |
| Matches | 2 | โ |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | โ |
| Route | USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Grenier's 50%).
| Opponent | Grenier | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Gentzsch | W 75 62 | W 64 16 76 |
| Mark Lajal | L 46 75 46 | W 36 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Roman Safiullin
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 25
Cyril Vandermeersch
Pozoblanco Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Paul Inchauspe
M25 Ajaccio ยท 2nd Round
Jul 3
Tristan Berard
M25 Ajaccio ยท 1st Round
Jul 1
Tristan Berard
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Oliver Okonkwo
Lexus Nottingham Open ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Daniel Elahi Galan
Bonn Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Franco Ribero
Royan Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Marco Trungelliti
Lyon Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 9
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 1
Cezar Cretu
Chisinau Challenger ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Gauthier Onclin
Chisinau Challenger ยท 1st Round
May 26
Mikhail Kukushkin
Gwangju Challenger ยท 1st Round
Apr 21
Yi Zhou
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships ยท Round of 32
Apr 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 37โ46 matches
| Metric | Grenier | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 68% |
| Sets won | 52% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Grenier | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Grenier | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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