Hugo Grenier vs Moez EcharguiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Grenier and Moez Echargui have met 4 times since 2018; Hugo Grenier leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Milan in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Grenier leads 2–1. Across all meetings Grenier has taken 6 sets to Echargui's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Grenier won at Villena Challenger (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Grenier | Echargui | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Grenier | Moez Echargui | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 34% | 17/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 65% | 13/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Grenier 3, Echargui 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Grenier
💥 Big Hitter
Echargui
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hugo Grenier.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2025
Villena Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 2, 2025
Porto Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 5, 2023
Alicante Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 25, 2018
Milan
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Grenier | Echargui | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Grenier | Moez Echargui | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 38% | 3/8 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Grenier | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.19 | 3.68 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.43u | +2.32u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Grenier | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,174 mi · 1,890 km |
| Route | USA | USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Echargui has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Grenier's 14%).
| Opponent | Grenier | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Lloyd Harris | L 36 36 | L 46 46 |
| Jaime Faria | L 36 36 | L 36 46 |
| Edas Butvilas | W 46 76 64 | W 36 75 63 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 16 26 | L 75 67 16 |
| Lukas Klein | L 63 46 67 | W 62 62 |
| Ugo Blanchet | L 67 46 | W 63 63 |
| Mark Lajal | L 46 75 46 | W 67 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Roman Safiullin
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 25
Cyril Vandermeersch
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Paul Inchauspe
M25 Ajaccio · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Tristan Berard
M25 Ajaccio · 1st Round
Jul 1
Tristan Berard
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Oliver Okonkwo
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Moise Kouame
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Otto Virtanen
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Spencer Johnson
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Lloyd Harris
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Keegan Smith
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Hugo Gaston
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–51 matches
| Metric | Grenier | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 37% |
| Sets won | 52% | 41% |
| Games won | 51% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Grenier | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Grenier | Echargui |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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