Hugo Grenier vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Grenier and Jan Choinski have met 3 times since 2023; Hugo Grenier leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cherbourg Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Grenier has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Grenier has taken 4 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Grenier won at ABN AMRO Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Grenier | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Grenier | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 14/22 | 59% | 23/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 16% | 4/25 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 12/47 | 40% | 26/65 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 47% | 17/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 24% | 5/21 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 35% | 6/17 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 14/21 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Grenier 2, Choinski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Grenier
💥 Big Hitter
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Hugo Grenier and Jan Choinski are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,120 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2026
ABN AMRO Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13, 2023
Nottingham Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 16, 2023
Cherbourg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Grenier | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Grenier | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | -12.1% | -28.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.70u | -2.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | — |
| Route | FRA → POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 7 shared opponents, both Grenier and Choinski posted a 57% win rate.
| Opponent | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Tiago Pereira | W 76 63 | W 61 62 |
| Billy Harris | L 57 36 | L 26 36 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 76 46 63 | L 26 36 |
| Mees Rottgering | L 46 16 | L 57 62 46 |
| Norbert Gombos | W 76 61 | W 63 64 |
| Arthur Fery | L 64 46 57 | W 57 76 62 |
| Daniel Elahi Galan | W | W 26 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Georgii Kravchenko
Villena Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Bruno Pujol Navarro
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Tiago Pereira
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Carl Emil Overbeck
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Thomas Faurel
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Vadym Ursu
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Christian Langmo
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–68 matches
| Metric | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 59% |
| Sets won | 45% | 55% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.