Hugo Grenier vs Jan ChoinskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hugo Grenier and Jan Choinski have met 3 times since 2023; Hugo Grenier leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Cherbourg Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Grenier has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Grenier has taken 4 sets to Choinski's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hugo Grenier won at ABN AMRO Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Grenier | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hugo Grenier | Jan Choinski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 56% | 27/48 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 39% | 11/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 42% | 32/76 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 9/18 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Grenier 2, Choinski 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Grenier
💥 Big Hitter
Choinski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Hugo Grenier and Jan Choinski are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2026
ABN AMRO Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13, 2023
Nottingham Challenger
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 16, 2023
Cherbourg Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Grenier | Choinski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hugo Grenier | Jan Choinski | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 28/28 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 96% | 27/28 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 71% | 20/28 |
| 10 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 25% | 7/28 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 7% | 2/28 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/28 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 18–9 |
| Avg odds | 3.19 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +4.8% | +5.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.43u | +1.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,992 mi · 9,643 km |
| Route | USA | GER → USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Grenier has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Choinski's 50%).
| Opponent | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Safiullin | W 76 46 63 | L 26 36 |
| Norbert Gombos | W 76 61 | W 63 64 |
| Tom Gentzsch | W 75 62 | W 64 64 |
| Arthur Fery | L 64 46 57 | W 57 76 62 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | L 57 76 26 | L 36 46 |
| Daniel Merida | W 64 76 | L 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Baez
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Roman Safiullin
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 25
Cyril Vandermeersch
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Paul Inchauspe
M25 Ajaccio · 2nd Round
Jul 3
Tristan Berard
M25 Ajaccio · 1st Round
Jul 1
Tristan Berard
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Oliver Okonkwo
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Mees Rottgering
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Taro Daniel
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · Final
Aug 2
Federico Agustin Gomez
Bonn Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Alex Barrena
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Francesco Passaro
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–78 matches
| Metric | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 63% |
| Sets won | 52% | 58% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Grenier | Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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