Hiroki Sakagawa vs Nathan PonwithPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hiroki Sakagawa and Nathan Ponwith have met 1 time since 2026; Nathan Ponwith leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sakagawa has taken 1 sets to Ponwith's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nathan Ponwith won at M15 Champaign (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakagawa | Ponwith | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hiroki Sakagawa | Nathan Ponwith | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 3/5 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 3/9 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 5/14 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 20% | 1/5 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 3/3 | 43% | 3/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakagawa 0, Ponwith 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakagawa
🏃 Pusher
Ponwith
⚙️ Grinder
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 25, 2026
M15 Champaign
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakagawa | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.67 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -63.8% | +10.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.55u | +0.30u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Sakagawa and Ponwith posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Sakagawa | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Mitric | W 63 64 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nathan Ponwith
M15 Champaign · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Aleksandar Mitric
M15 Champaign · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Brandon Carpico
M25 Southaven · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Rahul Machavarapu
M25 Southaven · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 3
Karim Bennani
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rohan Belday
M25 Edwardsville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Shou He Kang
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Ilyas Milad Fahim
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Oliver Okonkwo
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
David Bakonyi
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 26
Hiroki Sakagawa
M15 Champaign · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Aaron Bailey
M25 Las Vegas 1 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 23
Branko Djuric
M25 Bakersfield 1 · 2nd Round
Mar 19
Jacob Brumm
M25 Bakersfield 1 · 1st Round
Mar 18
Stefan Kozlov
Arizona Tennis Classic · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 9
Victor Braga
M15 San Jose 1 · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–17 matches
| Metric | Sakagawa | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 21% | 41% |
| Sets won | 39% | 41% |
| Games won | 45% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakagawa | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakagawa | Ponwith |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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