Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke OguraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ฏ๐ตHikaru Shiraishi
#680 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
6Title2 meetings ยท sets 4โ2
๐ฏ๐ตKosuke Ogura
#762 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Hikaru Shiraishi and Kosuke Ogura have met 2 times since 2026; Hikaru Shiraishi leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at M15 Karuizawa in 2026 on clay. Shiraishi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shiraishi has taken 4 sets to Ogura's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hikaru Shiraishi won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Matsuyama Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 8 ยท 8:10 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.36 or longer, Kosuke Ogura has won 10 of 38 (26%). The price implied 22%, so Kosuke Ogura has beaten it by 4 points.
At 1.29 or shorter, Hikaru Shiraishi has won 16 of 20 (80%). That is level with the 79% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Hikaru Shiraishi and Kosuke Ogura meet next at the Matsuyama Challenger on November 8 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shiraishi | Ogura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hikaru Shiraishi | Kosuke Ogura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 25/34 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 15/33 | 31% | 12/39 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 24/67 | 29% | 22/76 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 41% | 17/41 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 11/19 | 52% | 22/42 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 7/23 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 32/39 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 25/39 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shiraishi 0, Ogura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shiraishi
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Ogura
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
โ๏ธ The Gladiator vs ๐พ All-Court is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 338 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
May 27, 2026
M15 Karuizawa
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shiraishi | Ogura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hikaru Shiraishi | Kosuke Ogura | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 15/20 | 86% | 19/22 |
| 3 or more | 35% | 7/20 | 36% | 8/22 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 3/20 | 14% | 3/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 5% | 1/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shiraishi | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ8 | 10โ10 |
| Avg odds | 2.38 | 3.07 |
| ROI % | -32.7% | +15.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.91u | +3.01u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shiraishi and Ogura posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Shiraishi | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Yuto Oki | W 63 63 | W 62 61 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | W 64 36 75 | L 57 57 |
| Dong Ju Kim | W 75 63 | W 46 62 76 |
| Jake Delaney | L 64 36 46 | L 16 63 67 |
| Seongchan Hong | L 36 36 | L 67 36 |
| Ryota Tanuma | L 36 26 | W 61 61 |
| Yanki Erel | L 67 57 | L 16 62 26 |
| Omar Jasika | L 64 26 67 | L 36 36 |
| Tomohiro Masabayashi | W 64 63 | W 36 63 107 |
| Ethan David Zapp | W 61 60 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Riku Takahata
Matsuyama Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 8
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Yanagawa City ยท Final
Nov 1
Yuto Oki
M15 Yanagawa City ยท Semifinals
Oct 31
Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Yanagawa City ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 30
Yu Tanaka
M15 Yanagawa City ยท 2nd Round
Oct 29
Sho Katayama
M15 Yanagawa City ยท 1st Round
Oct 28
Hugo Hashimoto
M15 Tanagura ยท 2nd Round
Oct 22
Sora Fukuda
M15 Tanagura ยท 1st Round
Oct 21
Benjamin Hassan
Matsuyama Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 8
Madhwin Kamath
M15 Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Oct 29
James Van Herzeele
M15 Singapore ยท 1st Round
Oct 28
Maxime Janvier
M15 Singapore ยท Semifinals
Oct 24
Ali Habib
M15 Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Seon Yong Han
M15 Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Oct 22
Alexander Watanabe Eriksson
M15 Singapore ยท 1st Round
Oct 21
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 67โ76 matches
| Metric | Shiraishi | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 49% |
| Sets won | 53% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shiraishi | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shiraishi | Ogura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |