Hikaru Sato vs Natsuki YoshimotoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ฏ๐ตHikaru Sato
#444 ยท 27 yrs
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ4
๐ฏ๐ตNatsuki Yoshimoto
#615 ยท 22 yrs
3wHikaru Sato and Natsuki Yoshimoto have met 2 times since 2026; Natsuki Yoshimoto leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at W35 Miyazaki in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Yoshimoto leads 2โ0. Yoshimoto has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Sato has taken 2 sets to Yoshimoto's 4. Their most recent meeting: Natsuki Yoshimoto won at W35 Kyoto (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sato | Yoshimoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hikaru Sato | Natsuki Yoshimoto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 24/37 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 24/65 | 45% | 19/42 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 32/39 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 24/39 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sato 0, Yoshimoto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sato
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Yoshimoto
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hikaru Sato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 16, 2026
W35 Kyoto
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 24, 2026
W35 Miyazaki
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sato | Yoshimoto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hikaru Sato | Natsuki Yoshimoto | ||
| 1 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 8/19 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 5 or more | 21% | 4/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sato | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10โ9 | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 1.75 |
| ROI % | -30.8% | -28.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.86u | -3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sato | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 4 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | ESP โ AUT โ ECU โ POR | ESP โ AUT |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Yoshimoto has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sato's 50%).
| Opponent | Sato | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Mutsumi Uemura | L 46 46 | W 62 60 |
| Amy Stevens | W 75 61 | W 63 64 |
| Sakura Hosogi | L 62 26 67 | L 62 36 16 |
| Kisa Yoshioka | W 63 16 64 | W 64 63 |
| Tiana Tian Deng | W 64 63 | W 63 36 63 |
| Yuno Kitahara | W 61 64 | W 36 60 61 |
| Mao Mushika | W 75 67 62 | L 36 63 67 |
| Jizelle Sibai | L 26 16 | W 63 26 61 |
| Haruka Kaji | L 36 67 | L 63 36 36 |
| Ikumi Yamazaki | L 67 62 26 | L 63 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nana Onozawa
W35 Wagga Wagga ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Mutsumi Uemura
W35 Wagga Wagga ยท 2nd Round
Oct 7
Naho Sato
W35 Wagga Wagga ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Riko Kikawada
W35 Wagga Wagga ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Amy Stevens
W35 Wagga Wagga ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Sakura Hosogi
W50 Nanao ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Mutsumi Uemura
W50 Nanao ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kisa Yoshioka
W50 Nanao ยท 1st Round
Sep 23
Sakura Hosogi
W50 Nanao ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Ena Shibahara
W35 Kyoto ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Tiana Tian Deng
W35 Kyoto ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Hikaru Sato
W35 Kyoto ยท 1st Round
Sep 16
Eva Marie Desvignes
W15 Tianjin ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Eunyeong Park
W15 Tianjin ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Yushan Shao
W15 Tianjin ยท 1st Round
Aug 11
Lily Taylor
W15 Brisbane ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ65 matches
| Metric | Sato | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sato | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sato | Yoshimoto |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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