Hikaru Sato vs Mutsumi UemuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hikaru Sato and Mutsumi Uemura have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W50 Nanao in 2026 on carpet. Across all meetings Sato has taken 2 sets to Uemura's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mutsumi Uemura won at W35 Wagga Wagga (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sato | Uemura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hikaru Sato | Mutsumi Uemura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 65% | 24/37 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 11/28 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 24/65 | 32% | 18/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 32/39 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 24/39 | 66% | 21/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sato 1, Uemura 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sato
💥 Big Hitter
Uemura
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hikaru Sato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2026
W35 Wagga Wagga
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 24, 2026
W50 Nanao
? Carpet · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sato | Uemura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hikaru Sato | Mutsumi Uemura | ||
| 1 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 62% | 13/21 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 8/19 | 5% | 1/21 |
| 5 or more | 21% | 4/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sato | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–9 | 14–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -30.8% | +38.0% |
| Units P/L | -5.86u | +7.23u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sato | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 4 | 4 |
| Events | 4 | 4 |
| Matches | 8 | 10 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → AUT → ECU → POR | ESP → AUT → ECU → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Uemura's 57%).
| Opponent | Sato | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| Mio Mushika | W 64 61 | L 64 36 46 |
| Amy Stevens | W 75 61 | W 62 60 |
| Sakura Hosogi | L 62 26 67 | L 06 36 |
| Kisa Yoshioka | W 63 16 64 | W 64 62 |
| Natsuki Yoshimoto | L 64 36 36 | L 26 06 |
| Yingqun Sun | W 64 46 62 | W 62 63 |
| Erika Sema | W 76 64 | W 57 64 108 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nana Onozawa
W35 Wagga Wagga · 1st Round
Oct 7
Mutsumi Uemura
W35 Wagga Wagga · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Naho Sato
W35 Wagga Wagga · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Riko Kikawada
W35 Wagga Wagga · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Amy Stevens
W35 Wagga Wagga · 1st Round
Sep 30
Sakura Hosogi
W50 Nanao · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Mutsumi Uemura
W50 Nanao · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kisa Yoshioka
W50 Nanao · 1st Round
Sep 23
Ena Shibahara
W35 Wagga Wagga · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Nagi Hanatani
W35 Wagga Wagga · 1st Round
Oct 7
Hikaru Sato
W35 Wagga Wagga · 2nd Round
Oct 7
Mio Mushika
W35 Wagga Wagga · Semifinals
Oct 3
Ashleigh Simes
W35 Wagga Wagga · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Tahlia Kokkinis
W35 Wagga Wagga · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Unknown Player
W35 Wagga Wagga · 1st Round
Sep 29
Hikaru Sato
W50 Nanao · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–65 matches
| Metric | Sato | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 56% |
| Sets won | 55% | 54% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sato | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W50 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sato | Uemura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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