Hikaru Sato vs Kayo NishimuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hikaru Sato and Kayo Nishimura have met 1 time since 2026; Hikaru Sato leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sato has taken 2 sets to Nishimura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hikaru Sato won at W15 Tokyo (2026).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W50 Guiyang
- Level
- ITF W50
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 6 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Record at prices like this
At 1.39 or shorter, Hikaru Sato has won 9 of 16 (56%). The price implied 73%, so Hikaru Sato has fallen 17 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Hikaru Sato and Kayo Nishimura meet next at the W50 Guiyang on September 6 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sato | Nishimura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hikaru Sato | Kayo Nishimura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 23/35 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 26% | 15/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 13/27 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 97% | 32/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 82% | 27/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sato 1, Nishimura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sato
💥 Big Hitter
Nishimura
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,016 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hikaru Sato.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 13, 2026
W15 Tokyo
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sato | Nishimura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hikaru Sato | Kayo Nishimura | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 36% | 5/14 |
| 3 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 5 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sato | Nishimura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.59 | 2.19 |
| ROI % | -13.2% | +8.0% |
| Units P/L | -2.25u | +1.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sato | Nishimura |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BUL → ITA → CZE | CZE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sato has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Nishimura's 29%).
| Opponent | Sato | Nishimura |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | L 46 76 46 | L 26 26 |
| Mao Mushika | W 75 67 62 | W 61 46 76 |
| Hiromi Abe | L 63 16 36 | L |
| Yuka Hosoki | W 62 61 | W 62 62 |
| Ayano Shimizu | W 63 64 | L 26 36 |
| Rinko Matsuda | L 36 67 | L 26 63 26 |
| Tiana Tian Deng | W 64 63 | L 64 26 510 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuno Kitahara
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Jiaqi Wang
W75 Tianjin · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Yingqun Sun
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Julia Avdeeva
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Indianna Spink
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Aug 11
Amelia Rajecki
W35 Roehampton · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Mao Mushika
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 5
Sayaka Ishii
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Eunhye Lee
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Patcharin Cheapchadej
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Dana Guzman
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Lexington Reed
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Isabella Marton
W35 Saskatoon · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sara Saito
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Teah Chavez
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 14
Mia Kupres
W75 Granby · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 13
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–61 matches
| Metric | Sato | Nishimura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 66% |
| Sets won | 55% | 61% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sato | Nishimura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sato | Nishimura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |