Henry Bernet vs Stefano NapolitanoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Como Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- August 31 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 1.72 or shorter, Henry Bernet has won 9 of 12 matches, 75% against a fair-price expectation of 64%.
Priced around 2.05 or longer, Stefano Napolitano has won 31 of 79 matches, 39% against a fair-price expectation of 39%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Henry Bernet and Stefano Napolitano meet next at the Como Challenger on August 31 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bernet | Napolitano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Henry Bernet | Stefano Napolitano | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 17/51 | 27% | 16/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 14/24 | 62% | 23/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 95% | 37/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 77% | 30/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bernet
🏹 Frontrunner
Napolitano
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 554 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Bernet and Napolitano have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bernet | Napolitano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Henry Bernet | Stefano Napolitano | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 8/16 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bernet | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–6 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.41 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -11.5% | +3.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +0.23u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bernet | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SUI | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Bernet and Napolitano posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Bernet | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Moro Canas | L 46 16 | L 64 67 06 |
| Luka Pavlovic | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrien Burdet
M25 Lausanne · Semifinals
Aug 29
Oleksandr Ovcharenko
M25 Lausanne · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Blu Baker
M25 Lausanne · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Marko Maric
M25 Lausanne · 1st Round
Aug 25
Lorenzo Giustino
Sion Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Johan Nikles
Sion Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Juan Bautista Torres
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Hugo Dellien
Trieste Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Alexandre Muller
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 27
Gonzalo Villanueva
Cordenons Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alex Barrena
Cordenons Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Felix Balshaw
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Oscar Otte
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Vitaliy Sachko
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Billy Harris
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Franco Agamenone
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–60 matches
| Metric | Bernet | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 68% |
| Sets won | 55% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |