Heather Watson vs Maria TimofeevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Heather Watson
#445 · 34 yrs · Right-Handed
10w31 meeting · sets 1–2
🇺🇿Maria Timofeeva
#92 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
Heather Watson and Maria Timofeeva have met 1 time since 2026; Maria Timofeeva leads 1–0. Across all meetings Watson has taken 1 sets to Timofeeva's 2. Their most recent meeting: Maria Timofeeva won at Wimbledon (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Watson | Timofeeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Heather Watson | Maria Timofeeva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 5/6 | 84% | 31/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 3/8 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 4/14 | 18% | 9/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 3/6 | 71% | 25/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 5/8 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 5/7 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 5/7 | 86% | 31/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Watson 0, Timofeeva 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Watson
💥 Big Hitter
Timofeeva
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Heather Watson.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 25, 2026
Wimbledon
G Grass
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Watson | Timofeeva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Heather Watson | Maria Timofeeva | ||
| 1 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 18% | 2/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 9% | 1/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/0 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Watson | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +13.8% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.69u | +2.66u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Watson | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Timofeeva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watson's 33%).
| Opponent | Watson | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Shuai Zhang | L 36 46 | W 61 63 |
| Beatriz Haddad Maia | W 75 60 | W 63 62 |
| Xiaodi You | L 46 36 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Timofeeva
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Tatiana Prozorova
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Mayar Sherif
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Shuai Zhang
Queen's Club
Jun 7
Viktoria Hruncakova
Birmingham
May 30
Xiaodi You
Jiangxi Open - Jiujiang · Quarterfinals
May 8
Kyoka Okamura
Jiangxi Open - Jiujiang · 2nd Round
May 6
Shuai Zhang
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Sara Bejlek
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Livesport Prague Open - Prague · 1st Round
Jul 21
Ann Li
Athens Open - Athens · 1st Round
Jul 14
Elise Mertens
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Heather Watson
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Veronika Podrez
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–51 matches
| Metric | Watson | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 73% |
| Sets won | 47% | 69% |
| Games won | 50% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Watson | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Watson | Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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