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Head-to-Head

Hayu Kinoshita vs Victoria RodriguezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Upcoming match

Tournament
SP Open - Sao Paulo
Level
WTA 250
Round
1st Round Qualifying
Surface
Hard
Date & time
September 12 ยท 10:30 AM ET

Book odds

Hayu Kinoshita1.241.19
Victoria Rodriguez3.984.61

Set spread

Kinoshita -1.51.50
Rodriguez +1.52.37

Game spread

Kinoshita -61.89
Rodriguez +61.78
KinoshitaHard-court specialist (93%)RodriguezHard-court specialist (59%)

Record at prices like this

Hayu Kinoshita1.19implies 86%won 100%+14 pts

At 1.19 or shorter, Hayu Kinoshita has won 14 of 14 (100%). The price implied 86%, so Hayu Kinoshita has beaten it by 14 points.

Victoria Rodriguez4.61implies 14%won 7%โˆ’7 pts

At 4.61 or longer, Victoria Rodriguez has won 1 of 15 (7%). The price implied 14%, so Victoria Rodriguez has fallen 7 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Hayu Kinoshita and Victoria Rodriguez meet next at the SP Open - Sao Paulo on September 12 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months

IndicatorKinoshitaRodriguez
Wins in straight sets88%67%
Wins a set when losing24%24%
Goes to a deciding set17%28%
Covers โˆ’1.5 sets as favorite65%45%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog45%41%
Tiebreak sets won50%17%
Wins after taking set 195%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 190%67%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Kinoshita

๐Ÿ‘‘ The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Rodriguez

๐Ÿงฑ The Wall

Elite returnerLow unforced errorsExtreme consistencyPhysical endurance

Matchup analysis

The ๐Ÿ‘‘ The Complete Package archetype wins about 67% vs ๐Ÿงฑ The Wall across 847 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hayu Kinoshita.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Kinoshita and Rodriguez have never faced each other on tour.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days

MetricKinoshitaRodriguez
W-L2โ€“70โ€“2
Avg odds1.918.52
ROI %-69.4%-100.0%
Units P/L-6.25u-2.00u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricKinoshitaRodriguez
Countries21
Events21
Matches31
Distanceโ€”0 mi ยท 0 km
RouteNED โ†’ SMRAUT

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months

Kinoshita has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Rodriguez's 0%).

OpponentKinoshitaRodriguez
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
W
60
75
L
46
46
Elvina Kalieva
L
67
57
L
26
16
Hanna Chang
W
64
76
L
36
16

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Kinoshita
LWLWLLLL
L

Oceane Dodin

W50 Leiria ยท 2nd Round

57
57

Sep 3

W

Rebecca Munk Mortensen

W50 Leiria ยท 1st Round

60
75

Sep 1

L

Darja Semenistaja

U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying

26
57

Aug 26

W

Kyoka Okamura

Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver ยท 1st Round

61
64

Jul 29

L

Moyuka Uchijima

Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver ยท 2nd Round

62
46
57

Jul 29

L

Elvina Kalieva

W100 Evansville ยท 1st Round

627
57

Jul 22

L

Sakura Hosogi

W75 Granby ยท 1st Round

26
16

Jul 15

L

Iryna Shymanovich

Hall of Fame Open - Newport ยท 1st Round

36
26

Jul 8

Rodriguez
LLLWWLLW
L

Yulia Putintseva

Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 1st Round Qualifying

46
36

Aug 23

L

Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon

W35 Southaven ยท 1st Round

657
647

Aug 5

L

Luisina Giovannini

W35 Platja d'Aro ยท 2nd Round

26
64
16

May 7

W

Sofi Plamenova Fitcheva

W35 Platja d'Aro ยท 1st Round

60
61

May 6

W

Sofi Plamenova Fitcheva

W35 Platja d'Aro ยท Round of 32

60
61

May 6

L

Gabriela Ce

Billie Jean King Cup, Group I, Americas ยท Rubber 2

64
36
46

Apr 11

L

Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez

Billie Jean King Cup, Group I, Americas ยท Rubber 2

36
46

Apr 10

W

Emiliana Arango

Billie Jean King Cup, Group I, Americas ยท Rubber 2

64
64

Apr 9

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ€“65 matches

MetricKinoshitaRodriguez
Matches won62%46%
Sets won61%46%
Games won56%49%