Smashrssmashrs.

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Head-to-Head

Hayu Kinoshita vs Sara SaitoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

HK

🇯🇵Hayu Kinoshita

#223 · 19 yrs

5w
2–1

3 meetings · sets 4–2

SS

🇯🇵Sara Saito

#243 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed

4w

Hayu Kinoshita and Sara Saito have met 3 times since 2025; Hayu Kinoshita leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at W35 Hamamatsu 1 in 2025 on carpet. On hard courts Kinoshita leads 2–0. Kinoshita has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kinoshita has taken 4 sets to Saito's 2. Their most recent meeting: Hayu Kinoshita won at W100 Takasaki (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorKinoshitaSaito
Wins in straight sets86%69%
Wins a set when losing26%33%
Goes to a deciding set19%32%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite66%44%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog45%31%
Tiebreak sets won50%64%
Wins after taking set 194%90%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 189%76%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kinoshita 2, Saito 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Kinoshita

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Saito

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Matchup analysis

The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hayu Kinoshita.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.

Previous meetings

3 career meetings, newest first

May 22, 2026

W100 Takasaki

H Hard · 2nd Round

61
63
Kinoshita

Mar 19, 2026

W75 Kofu 1

H Hard · 2nd Round

64
60
Kinoshita

Nov 6, 2025

W35 Hamamatsu 1

? Carpet · 2nd Round

57
46
Saito

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeKinoshitaSaito
1 or more33%53%
3 or more0%7%
5 or more0%0%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricKinoshitaSaito
W-L2–69–5
Avg odds1.971.71
ROI %-54.1%-1.7%
Units P/L-4.33u-0.24u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 10 shared opponents, both Kinoshita and Saito posted a 60% win rate.

OpponentKinoshitaSaito
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
L
46
26
L
57
26
Sakura Hosogi
L
26
16
W
62
64
Yuki Naito
W
64
61
W
63
16
61
Ayano Shimizu
L
46
62
36
W
64
64
Natsuho Arakawa
W
61
62
W
62
63
Lin Zhu
W
62
64
L
36
06
Yeon Woo Ku
W
61
67
63
W
62
62
Misaki Matsuda
L
46
26
W
26
75
62
Ena Shibahara
W
75
61
L
36
63
36
Natsumi Kawaguchi
W
62
62
L
62
46
36

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Kinoshita
WLLLLLWL
W

Kyoka Okamura

Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round

61
64

Jul 29

L

Moyuka Uchijima

Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round

62
46
57

Jul 29

L

Elvina Kalieva

W100 Evansville · 1st Round

627
57

Jul 22

L

Sakura Hosogi

W75 Granby · 1st Round

26
16

Jul 15

L

Iryna Shymanovich

Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round

36
26

Jul 8

L

Mariam Bolkvadze

Wimbledon

36
26

Jun 24

W

Viktoriya Tomova

Wimbledon

75
63

Jun 23

L

Viktoria Hruncakova

Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round

16
16

Jun 15

Saito
LWWLLWWW
L

Kylie Collins

W75 Lexington · Quarterfinals

75
36
36

Jul 31

W

Erika Sema

W75 Lexington · 2nd Round

36
62
64

Jul 30

W

Luciana Perry

W75 Lexington · 1st Round

63
767

Jul 28

L

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

W100 Evansville · 1st Round

57
26

Jul 22

L

Kayla Cross

W75 Granby · Final

57
16

Jul 19

W

Cadence Brace

W75 Granby · Quarterfinals

60
62

Jul 18

W

Sakura Hosogi

W75 Granby · Semifinals

62
64

Jul 18

W

Kayo Nishimura

W75 Granby · 2nd Round

63
63

Jul 16

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ KinoshitaKinoshita ahead↓ Saito

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–59 matches

MetricKinoshitaSaito
Matches won61%57%
Sets won60%55%
Games won55%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageKinoshitaSaito
ITF W10010
ITF W7510
ITF W3501

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceKinoshitaSaito
Hard20
Carpet01

Share this matchup

Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.

Hayu Kinoshita vs Sara Saito FAQ

Hayu Kinoshita leads the head-to-head 2–1 over 3 meetings.