Hayu Kinoshita vs Sakura HosogiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hayu Kinoshita and Sakura Hosogi have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W35 Miyazaki in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Kinoshita has taken 2 sets to Hosogi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sakura Hosogi won at W75 Granby (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kinoshita | Hosogi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayu Kinoshita | Sakura Hosogi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 31/36 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 6/23 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 11/59 | 31% | 14/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 23/35 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 9/20 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 33/35 | 86% | 18/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | 62% | 13/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kinoshita 1, Hosogi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kinoshita
👑 The Complete Package
Hosogi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hayu Kinoshita.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 15, 2026
W75 Granby
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 18, 2026
W35 Miyazaki
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kinoshita | Hosogi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayu Kinoshita | Sakura Hosogi | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 33% | 6/18 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 11% | 2/18 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kinoshita | Hosogi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–6 | 9–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -54.1% | -8.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.33u | -1.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kinoshita | Hosogi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | FRA → POR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kinoshita has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Hosogi's 30%).
| Opponent | Kinoshita | Hosogi |
|---|---|---|
| Elvina Kalieva | L 67 57 | L 26 26 |
| Sara Saito | W 61 63 | L 26 46 |
| Ena Koike | W 61 76 | W 75 57 62 |
| Kristiana Sidorova | W 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | L 46 26 | L 57 57 |
| Misaki Matsuda | L 46 26 | W 63 63 |
| Hiromi Abe | W 61 63 | W 76 63 |
| Fangran Tian | L 06 57 | L 61 57 26 |
| Arina Varaksina | W 26 61 60 | L 36 36 |
| Ayano Shimizu | L 46 62 36 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kyoka Okamura
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Moyuka Uchijima
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Elvina Kalieva
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Sakura Hosogi
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Iryna Shymanovich
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 8
Mariam Bolkvadze
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Viktoriya Tomova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Viktoria Hruncakova
Ladies Open - Figueira da Foz · 1st Round
Jun 15
Haruka Kaji
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 18
Lea Boskovic
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Darja Vidmanova
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 23
Sara Saito
W75 Granby · Semifinals
Jul 18
Ena Koike
W75 Granby · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alexandra Vagramov
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hayu Kinoshita
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus · Final
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–59 matches
| Metric | Kinoshita | Hosogi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 49% |
| Sets won | 60% | 47% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kinoshita | Hosogi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kinoshita | Hosogi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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