Hayden Jones vs Ryuki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hayden Jones and Ryuki Matsuda have met 1 time since 2025; Ryuki Matsuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Jones has taken 0 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ryuki Matsuda won at Playford (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Jones | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayden Jones | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 5/6 | 57% | 12/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 2/8 | 32% | 11/34 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 3/14 | 36% | 20/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 1/2 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 53% | 17/32 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 83% | 5/6 | 20% | 3/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 88% | 14/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 75% | 12/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Jones 0, Matsuda 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jones
⚙️ Grinder
Matsuda
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 24, 2025
Playford
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jones | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayden Jones | Ryuki Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jones | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.66 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -43.0% | +17.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.58u | +3.11u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jones | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Matsuda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Jones's 33%).
| Opponent | Jones | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Blake Ellis | L 26 57 | L 36 46 |
| Kosuke Ogura | L 57 46 | W 64 46 64 |
| Colin Sinclair | W 76 76 | W 46 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matthew Dellavedova
M15 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 22
Blake Ellis
M25 Brisbane · 1st Round
Jul 14
Kosuke Ogura
Futures 2026
Jun 15
Lev Seidman
Futures 2026
Jun 14
Jumpei Yamasaki
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Hiromasa Koyama
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Hiromasa Koyama
Futures 2026
Jun 10
Kazuki Nishiwaki
Futures 2026
Jun 8
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Omar Jasika
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Yu Hsiou Hsu
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Isaac Becroft
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Gunawan Trismuwantara
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 29
Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Bali · Final
Jul 26
Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali · Semifinals
Jul 25
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–55 matches
| Metric | Jones | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 38% |
| Sets won | 45% | 41% |
| Games won | 47% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jones | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jones | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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