Hayato Matsuoka vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Hayato Matsuoka
#250 · 21 yrs · R
5Title31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Yosuke Watanuki
#415 · 28 yrs · R
5wHayato Matsuoka and Yosuke Watanuki have met 1 time since 2026; Hayato Matsuoka leads 1–0. Across all meetings Matsuoka has taken 2 sets to Watanuki's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hayato Matsuoka won at Vancouver Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuoka | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayato Matsuoka | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 34/47 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 34% | 10/29 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 23/76 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 24/43 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 9/20 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 34/42 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuoka 1, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuoka
🎾 All-Court
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 29, 2026
Vancouver Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuoka | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayato Matsuoka | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.73 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +14.6% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | +2.63u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | KAZ | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Matsuoka and Watanuki posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Matsuoka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Tung-Lin Wu | L 36 67 | W 63 67 61 |
| Omar Jasika | W 63 64 | L 62 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Khumoun Sultanov
Astana Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 15
Fajing Sun
Astana Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Takuya Kumasaka
Astana Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Koki Matsuda
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
J.J. Wolf
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Shintaro Mochizuki
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Yosuke Watanuki
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–76 matches
| Metric | Matsuoka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuoka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuoka | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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