Hayato Matsuoka vs Lloyd HarrisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hayato Matsuoka and Lloyd Harris have met 1 time since 2026; Lloyd Harris leads 1–0. Across all meetings Matsuoka has taken 1 sets to Harris's 2. Their most recent meeting: Lloyd Harris won at Guangzhou Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Matsuoka | Harris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hayato Matsuoka | Lloyd Harris | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 36/50 | 65% | 24/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 25/81 | 42% | 22/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 26/47 | 51% | 23/45 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 16/30 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 10/25 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 39/47 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 36/47 | 73% | 24/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Matsuoka 0, Harris 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Matsuoka
🏹 Frontrunner
Harris
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lloyd Harris.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 15, 2026
Guangzhou Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Matsuoka | Harris | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hayato Matsuoka | Lloyd Harris | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 97% | 30/31 |
| 3 or more | 59% | 10/17 | 97% | 30/31 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 84% | 26/31 |
| 10 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 52% | 16/31 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 16% | 5/31 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 7% | 2/31 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 25–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | +9.0% | +13.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.71u | +4.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Matsuoka | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 14 |
| Distance | 651 mi · 1,048 km | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Harris has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Matsuoka's 50%).
| Opponent | Matsuoka | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic | W 76 76 | W 62 57 62 |
| Daniel Milavsky | W 62 64 | W 67 63 63 |
| Henry Searle | L 26 26 | W 75 26 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 16 46 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
James McCabe
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Qian Sun
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Taro Daniel
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Arthur Weber
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Lloyd Harris
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jake Delaney
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Enzo Aguiard
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Aziz Dougaz
Astana Challenger · Final
Aug 16
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Alex Bolt
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · Final
Oct 4
Alex Bolt
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Andre Ilagan
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Luka Pavlovic
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Alexis Galarneau
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–81 matches
| Metric | Matsuoka | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 69% |
| Sets won | 59% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Matsuoka | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Matsuoka | Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.