Harold Mayot vs Yaroslav DeminPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningboo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 29 · 10:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 3.57 or longer, Yaroslav Demin has won 3 of 17 (18%). That is level with the 19% the price implied.
At 1.27 or shorter, Harold Mayot has won 31 of 34 (91%). The price implied 80%, so Harold Mayot has beaten it by 11 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Yaroslav Demin meets Harold Mayot in the Ningboo Challenger quarterfinals on October 29 on hard court. Demin, ranked 596th, arrives on a four-match winning streak after playing 8 matches in the past 14 days. Mayot, ranked 233rd, holds a 2-match streak following a more measured path through the draw.
The two have never faced each other. Demin has won 70% of his matches over his last 10 outings, including a 4-1 record in his most recent five. Mayot has posted 70% over the same 10-match sample but sits at 3-2 in his last five. Both players took the court yesterday; Demin's high-volume schedule contrasts with Mayot's more selective tournament rotation.
Demin operates as a counterpuncher who reads pace well and uses court positioning to nullify aggression. Mayot builds points through heavy hitting and looks to dictate from the baseline or finish at net. On hard court, Demin has recorded a 12-8 record (60%), while Mayot owns a 14-6 mark (70%). Demin must absorb Mayot's firepower without overextending; Mayot must sustain the precision his aggressive style demands across a full match.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mayot | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Harold Mayot | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 16/26 | 70% | 33/47 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 16/43 | 31% | 22/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 13/30 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 16/27 | 70% | 33/47 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mayot
💥 Big Hitter
Demin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,892 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Harold Mayot.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Mayot and Demin have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mayot | Demin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Harold Mayot | Yaroslav Demin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 23/23 | 90% | 17/19 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 17/23 | 63% | 12/19 |
| 5 or more | 48% | 11/23 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 9% | 2/23 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/23 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mayot | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–6 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.61 | 1.94 |
| ROI % | +14.9% | +4.2% |
| Units P/L | +3.42u | +0.83u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mayot | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 3,676 mi · 5,916 km | — |
| Route | FRA → KAZ | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Demin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mayot's 0%).
| Opponent | Mayot | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Andrej Nedic | L 26 06 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kaichi Uchida
Ningboo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Tianhui Zhang
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Gabriel Diallo
Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Clement Chidekh
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Tristan Schoolkate
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Niels Visker
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Titouan Droguet
St. Tropez Challenger · Final
Sep 27
Murphy Cassone
St. Tropez Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Charles Broom
Ningboo Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 28
Carl Emil Overbeck
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Martin Borisiouk
Ningboo Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Qian Sun
Ningboo Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 26
Akira Santillan
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Kasidit Samrej
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 19
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Qian Daohu · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–71 matches
| Metric | Mayot | Demin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 66% |
| Sets won | 57% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |