Hanna Chang vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Hanna Chang
#289 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇺🇸Varvara Lepchenko
#192 · 40 yrs · Left-Handed
Hanna Chang and Varvara Lepchenko have met 3 times since 2021; Hanna Chang leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston - Charleston in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Chang leads 2–1. Chang has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Chang has taken 4 sets to Lepchenko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Hanna Chang won at Copa Colsanitas - Bogota (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hanna Chang | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 37% | 21/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 22/33 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | 61% | 19/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 0, Lepchenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chang
🪃 Counterpuncher
Lepchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Varvara Lepchenko.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 22, 2024
Fifth Third Charleston - Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 30, 2021
Charleston - Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chang | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hanna Chang | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 4–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.72 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | -47.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.79u | -5.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | — | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km |
| Route | USA → TUR → BEL | UKR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Lepchenko's 33%).
| Opponent | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Myers | W 61 62 | L 16 36 |
| Christasha Mcneil | W 60 62 | W 60 62 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 36 26 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janae Preston
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mary Stoiana
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Oct 1
Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alina Shcherbinina
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kailey Evans
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elizabeth Mandlik
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Dalayna Hewitt
W100 Landisville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Ulrikke Eikeri
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alycia Parks
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Claire Liu
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Katrina Scott
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 7
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alina Korneeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Emerson Jones
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–57 matches
| Metric | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 46% |
| Sets won | 61% | 46% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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