Hanna Chang vs Varvara LepchenkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Hanna Chang
#295 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4w3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇺🇸Varvara Lepchenko
#181 · 40 yrs · Left-Handed
7w3Hanna Chang and Varvara Lepchenko have met 3 times since 2021; Hanna Chang leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Charleston - Charleston in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Chang leads 2–1. Chang has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Chang has taken 4 sets to Lepchenko's 4. Their most recent meeting: Hanna Chang won at Copa Colsanitas - Bogota (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hanna Chang | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 25/33 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 35% | 14/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 21/32 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 55% | 11/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 0, Lepchenko 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chang
👑 The Complete Package
Lepchenko
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 22, 2024
Fifth Third Charleston - Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 30, 2021
Charleston - Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chang | Lepchenko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hanna Chang | Varvara Lepchenko | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 2.62 |
| ROI % | -3.8% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.42u | -0.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | CZE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Chang and Lepchenko posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Christasha Mcneil | W 60 62 | W 60 62 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 36 26 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ayana Akli
W75 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jantje Tilbuerger
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Alina Shcherbinina
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alina Shcherbinina
W35 Dallas · Final
Jul 19
Lexington Reed
W35 Dallas · Semifinals
Jul 18
Christasha Mcneil
W35 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Liv Hovde
W35 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Alevtina Ibragimova
Iasi WTA
Jul 13
Clara Burel
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 13
Maia Ilinca Burcescu
Iasi WTA
Jul 12
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad · Quarterfinals
Jul 9
Tamara Korpatsch
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Lisa Zaar
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 7
Anastasia Gasanova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–55 matches
| Metric | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 48% |
| Sets won | 60% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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