Hanna Chang vs Rinko MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Hanna Chang
#295 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
4w1 meeting · sets 1–2
🇯🇵Rinko Matsuda
#519 · 21 yrs
TitleHanna Chang and Rinko Matsuda have met 1 time since 2026; Rinko Matsuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Chang has taken 1 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rinko Matsuda won at W35 Zhengzhou (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hanna Chang | Rinko Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 25/33 | 63% | 24/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/54 | 34% | 20/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 21/32 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 28/34 | 87% | 33/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 25/34 | 63% | 24/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 0, Matsuda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chang
👑 The Complete Package
Matsuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Hanna Chang.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 18, 2026
W35 Zhengzhou
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chang | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hanna Chang | Rinko Matsuda | ||
| 1 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 33% | 4/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 10–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.64 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -3.8% | +26.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.42u | +3.43u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Chang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Matsuda's 50%).
| Opponent | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Reina Goto | L 36 63 26 | L 36 57 |
| Yuna Sugiyama | W 76 61 | W 61 76 |
| Dayeon Back | W 61 64 | L 26 16 |
| Seo Yun Choi | W 46 76 62 | W 26 62 62 |
| Hikaru Sato | W 62 64 | W 63 76 |
| Yufei Ren | W 61 75 | L 06 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ayana Akli
W75 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jantje Tilbuerger
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Alina Shcherbinina
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alina Shcherbinina
W35 Dallas · Final
Jul 19
Lexington Reed
W35 Dallas · Semifinals
Jul 18
Christasha Mcneil
W35 Dallas · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Liv Hovde
W35 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Julieta Pareja
W50 Columbus · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 26
Meng Yi Chen
W15 Tianjin · Final
Aug 23
Peangtarn Plipuech
W15 Tianjin · Semifinals
Aug 22
Ya Yi Yang
W15 Tianjin · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Na Ri Kim
W15 Tianjin · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Xiran Lan
W15 Tianjin · 1st Round
Aug 19
Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Astana · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–59 matches
| Metric | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 64% |
| Sets won | 60% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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