Hanna Chang vs Mary StoianaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hanna Chang and Mary Stoiana have met 2 times since 2026; Mary Stoiana leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Dow Tennis Classic - Midland in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Stoiana leads 2–0. Stoiana has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Chang has taken 1 sets to Stoiana's 4. Their most recent meeting: Mary Stoiana won at W100 Templeton (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Stoiana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hanna Chang | Mary Stoiana | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 67% | 37/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 8/20 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 42% | 35/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 22/33 | 51% | 28/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 84% | 46/55 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 67% | 37/55 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 0, Stoiana 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chang
🪃 Counterpuncher
Stoiana
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mary Stoiana.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 1, 2026
W100 Templeton
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 16, 2026
Dow Tennis Classic - Midland
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chang | Stoiana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hanna Chang | Mary Stoiana | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | +5.7% | -18.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.79u | -3.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chang | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR → BEL | BRA → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stoiana has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Chang's 17%).
| Opponent | Chang | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Julieta Pareja | L 16 16 | L 57 57 |
| Jazmin Ortenzi | L 36 36 | W 63 62 |
| Katie Swan | W 76 46 64 | W 67 63 63 |
| Elizabeth Mandlik | L | L 16 62 46 |
| Kayla Cross | L 64 36 67 | W 63 64 |
| Thea Frodin | L 46 16 | W 61 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janae Preston
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mary Stoiana
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Oct 1
Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alina Shcherbinina
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kailey Evans
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elizabeth Mandlik
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Dalayna Hewitt
W100 Landisville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Hanna Chang
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Oct 1
Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Dominika Salkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Claire Liu
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Julia Riera
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Jazmin Ortenzi
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Alexandra Eala
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–84 matches
| Metric | Chang | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 65% |
| Sets won | 61% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W100 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.