Hanna Chang vs Liv HovdePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Hanna Chang and Liv Hovde have met 2 times since 2024; Hanna Chang leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Fifth Third Charleston - Charleston in 2024 on clay. Chang has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Chang has taken 4 sets to Hovde's 0. Their most recent meeting: Hanna Chang won at W35 Dallas (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Chang | Hovde | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Hanna Chang | Liv Hovde | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 18/55 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 22/33 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 6/11 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 26/34 | 100% | 5/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Chang 2, Hovde 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Chang
🪃 Counterpuncher
Hovde
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,862 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 16, 2026
W35 Dallas
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 20, 2024
Fifth Third Charleston - Charleston
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Chang | Hovde | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Hanna Chang | Liv Hovde | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 100% | 1/1 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/1 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/1 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/1 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/1 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/1 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Chang | Hovde |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 1.25 |
| ROI % | +1.6% | -29.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.20u | -0.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Chang | Hovde |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → TUR → BEL | MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Chang and Hovde posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Chang | Hovde |
|---|---|---|
| Eleanor Myers | W 61 62 | W 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Janae Preston
W35 Las Vegas · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Amelie Justine Hejtmanek
W35 Las Vegas · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mary Stoiana
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Oct 1
Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alina Shcherbinina
W50 Berkeley · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kailey Evans
W50 Berkeley · 1st Round
Sep 22
Elizabeth Mandlik
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 5
Dalayna Hewitt
W100 Landisville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 4
Alice Soulie
W15 Nashville · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Panna Bartha
W15 Nashville · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Kristina Penickova
W35 Florence · 1st Round
Jul 29
Violeta Martinez
W35 Florence · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Sara Shumate
W35 Florence · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Hanna Chang
W35 Dallas · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Unknown Player
W35 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 15
Unknown Player
W35 Dallas · 1st Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–56 matches
| Metric | Chang | Hovde |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 64% | 71% |
| Sets won | 62% | 73% |
| Games won | 54% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Chang | Hovde |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Chang | Hovde |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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