Goncalo Marques vs Lui MaxtedPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Goncalo Marques and Lui Maxted have met 1 time since 2026; Lui Maxted leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Lui Maxted won at M25 Sintra (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Marques | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Goncalo Marques | Lui Maxted | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 32/42 | 74% | 32/43 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 9/26 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 19/68 | 27% | 17/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 68% | 15/22 | 54% | 25/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 16/31 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 61% | 11/18 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 37/40 | 91% | 39/43 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 32/40 | 74% | 32/43 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Marques
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maxted
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Goncalo Marques and Lui Maxted are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 16, 2026
M25 Sintra
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Marques | Maxted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Goncalo Marques | Lui Maxted | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 24/26 | 87% | 20/23 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 20/26 | 57% | 13/23 |
| 5 or more | 46% | 12/26 | 17% | 4/23 |
| 10 or more | 4% | 1/26 | 4% | 1/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/26 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Marques | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–10 | 14–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | -16.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.85u | -3.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Marques | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Marques and Maxted posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Marques | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Petr Nesterov | W 75 16 64 | L 36 67 |
| Francisco Rocha | L 46 76 46 | W 46 63 61 |
| Fausto Tabacco | W 36 64 64 | L 67 26 |
| Naoya Honda | W 57 63 1614 | W 64 60 |
| Sean Hodkin | W 62 64 | W 64 36 61 |
| Garrett Johns | L 46 57 | W 60 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Duje Ajdukovic
Maia Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Petr Nesterov
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Christian Langmo
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Georgii Kravchenko
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Lui Maxted
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Patrick Schoen
M25 Sintra · Final
Sep 13
Luca Potenza
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Francisco Rocha
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
M25 Setubal · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Tyler Stice
M25 Setubal · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Blu Baker
M25 Setubal · 1st Round
Sep 23
Fausto Tabacco
M25 Sintra · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Julien Penzlin
M25 Sintra · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Goncalo Marques
M25 Sintra · 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–68 matches
| Metric | Marques | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 67% |
| Sets won | 60% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Marques | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Marques | Maxted |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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